TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,783
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,432

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,783 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under33c917.3$306 inLost-$305.826619.7%13 W · 53 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-54.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed Under37c799.68$299 inLost-$298.831136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over63c612.64$385 inWon+$227.8829654.1%160 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked Over67c572$382 inWon+$190.376973.9%51 W · 18 L+19.0wins+0.28per pick46cpaid+87.8%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over9c526.99$47 inWon+$479.5696947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc88…25dabacked Over12c450.08$54 inWon+$396.07425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under47c356.2$166 inLost-$166.052,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed Over61c129.2$79 inWon+$50.075064%32 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over64c118.61$76 inWon+$42.8217447.7%83 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over54c107.38$58 inWon+$49.3979532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Over63c61.34$38 inWon+$22.896969.6%48 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe331…0163backed Over63c39$25 inWon+$14.434065%26 W · 14 L+5.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+46%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc487…291bbacked Over65c37.84$25 inWon+$13.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over63c37.73$24 inWon+$13.826552.3%34 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd182…0783backed Over60c34.48$21 inWon+$13.692100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f8…99d0backed Over62c31.59$19 inWon+$12.11742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-34.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Over58c24.48$14 inWon+$10.2810148.5%49 W · 52 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf30…d9a2backed Under74c14.86$11 inLost-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.