Europa Conference League · resolved market
Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f289d075a967a242376375e7aeb108c11909b77a7569c5afa423d1da517fce0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jagiellonia Białystokof Jagiellonia Białystok, Rangers FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1ed…fa68backed Rangers FC | 43c | 5,448$2,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,344.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe6…4a1bbacked Rangers FC | 9c | 3,737$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.76 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +10.1wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +330.1%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…0ccbbacked Rangers FC | 50c | 1,546$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fb…ced4backed Rangers FC | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b2…4bfcbacked Rangers FC | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 80c | 818.06$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.61 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 35c | 808.8$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.1 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Rangers FC | 3c | 804.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Rangers FC | 36c | 717.24$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.02 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…e6a6backed Rangers FC | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Rangers FC | 61c | 531.27$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.78 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Jagiellonia Białystok | 30c | 397.85$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.49 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked Rangers FC | 52c | 332.99$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked Rangers FC | 20c | 264.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…072bbacked Rangers FC | 49c | 257.78$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Jagiellonia Białystok | 30c | 221.25$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.88 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Rangers FC | 8c | 207.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…f3a4backed Rangers FC | 69c | 172.04$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 80c | 166.88$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18b7…ed6fbacked Rangers FC | 70c | 142.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5403…edd5backed Rangers FC | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeca…a1b7backed Rangers FC | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…db33backed Rangers FC | 70c | 137.43$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Rangers FC | 70c | 92$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 33c | 90.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Rangers FC | 66c | 84.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc6…d5e0backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 59c | 67.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 31c | 64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5a…4063backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 80c | 62.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…e9c2backed Rangers FC | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -6.7wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Rangers FC | 52c | 39.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…f153backed Rangers FC | 75c | 23.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6e…8770backed Rangers FC | 69c | 18.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Jagiellonia Białystok | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: Team to Advancethis page
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: Jagiellonia Białystok O/U 0.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: Jagiellonia Białystok O/U 1.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: Rangers FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: Rangers FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-1.5)Rangers FC won
- Spread: Jagiellonia Białystok (-2.5)Rangers FC won
- Spread: Rangers FC (-1.5)Jagiellonia Białystok won
- Spread: Rangers FC (-2.5)Jagiellonia Białystok won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.