MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50ef2c6697c73a3a24c3ceb4101b85974ca9f2997a102d970e58f1fba4b9ff19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Toronto Blue Jays, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $207,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 50,000$22,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,000 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Houston Astros | 56c | 34,779$19,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,160.03 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecc…8f07backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 26,358$11,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,861.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 55c | 25,652$14,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,437.9 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 15,554$6,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.28 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 56c | 15,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Houston Astros | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Houston Astros | 56c | 9,299$5,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,091.47 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Houston Astros | 61c | 8,948$5,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,492.14 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 8,091$3,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100.92 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 4,591$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.86 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 4,500$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.96 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Houston Astros | 65c | 3,453$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.8 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Houston Astros | 61c | 2,564$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.37 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 2,395$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.69 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 2,012$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.31 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 1,940$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.46 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays | 30c | 1,876$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.77 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Houston Astros | 62c | 1,824$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.97 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c22…3dbdbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 1,785$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd0…fe12backed Houston Astros | 55c | 1,613$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.73 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 55c | 1,464$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.6 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Houston Astros | 55c | 1,364$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.02 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 1,339$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.41 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Houston Astros | 61c | 1,311$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.45 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros | 60c | 1,252$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.05 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Houston Astros | 56c | 1,184$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.16 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Houston Astros | 59c | 960.95$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.99 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Houston Astros | 55c | 882.94$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.6 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 659.81$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.53 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a55…5a54backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 655.54$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.44 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 543.09$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.12 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 540$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Houston Astros | 57c | 523.15$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.32 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b22…9431backed Houston Astros | 56c | 488$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.72 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Houston Astros | 61c | 449.49$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.3 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…cc95backed Houston Astros | 79c | 445.23$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.23 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 444$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 426$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.38 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2324…d697backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 424.14$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 406.37$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.74 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 360$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 360$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 320$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 314.07$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.05 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Houston Astros | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Houston Astros | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 285.45$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.6 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Houston Astros | 55c | 264$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Houston Astros | 55c | 261.58$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.84 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 260$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 253.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Houston Astros | 58c | 251.68$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.71 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…60b9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 249.77$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Houston Astros | 65c | 249.75$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.82 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 240$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Houston Astros | 59c | 238.82$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Toronto Blue Jays | 19c | 231.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 224$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.79 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 220$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 218.62$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.14 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 205.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 203.11$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Houston Astros | 56c | 195$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.77 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 192.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Houston Astros | 76c | 191$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 1,099 | 79.7%876 W · 223 L | +33.4wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…663fbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 186$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9278…9a1bbacked Houston Astros | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Houston Astros | 54c | 179.7$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.09 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Houston Astros | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Houston Astros | 54c | 174.55$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Houston Astros | 55c | 174.55$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.55 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Houston Astros | 59c | 159.18$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.84 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked Houston Astros | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Houston Astros | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.91 | 120 | 24.2%29 W · 91 L | -11.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Houston Astros | 56c | 142.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e3…14c3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 135.87$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 44.9%75 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 131.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x038c…36cfbacked Houston Astros | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x139c…1db1backed Houston Astros | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a71…9a53backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…7398backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 655 | 42.4%278 W · 377 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Houston Astros | 55c | 119.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd94f…0cf5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 118.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4f…3369backed Houston Astros | 55c | 115.63$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Houston Astros | 57c | 114.8$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.36 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab61…fb2bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb464…cd5fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Houston Astros | 56c | 107.27$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…6de9backed Houston Astros | 55c | 106.63$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Houston Astros | 55c | 106.55$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 105.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston AstrosNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.