MLB · resolved market
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8ba0536d3b8130b9ef91d0c9433900eef6a4d295d58a28370ad4d7d42674aae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Colorado Rockies, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 8,308$3,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,945.71 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Colorado Rockies | 64c | 6,276$3,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,994.33 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 3,828$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.34 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 3,504$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.94 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Colorado Rockies | 30c | 1,500$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.9 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 1,109$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.78 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 75c | 816.46$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.22 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 732.78$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.57 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 597.47$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 497.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.57 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Colorado Rockies | 69c | 490.48$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.43 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Colorado Rockies | 30c | 366.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies | 60c | 364.05$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.41 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Colorado Rockies | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…944dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 254.55$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Tampa Bay Rays | 71c | 237.93$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 184.18$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7aa…08c3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 29c | 171.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.47 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 162.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.86 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Colorado Rockies | 58c | 159.01$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.93 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97b6…6e98backed Colorado Rockies | 36c | 155.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Colorado Rockies | 42c | 150.01$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Colorado Rockies | 40c | 126.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Colorado Rockies | 41c | 122.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 112.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Colorado Rockies | 63c | 109.27$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.84 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Colorado Rockies | 42c | 102.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 95.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.01 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 79.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 78.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 60.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 58.56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 32c | 57.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 380 | 53.2%202 W · 178 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Colorado Rockies | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 51.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Colorado Rockies | 35c | 51.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x975c…6343backed Colorado Rockies | 35c | 50.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3711…2775backed Colorado Rockies | 37c | 47.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 44.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 76c | 40.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Colorado Rockies | 39c | 40.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 40.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Tampa Bay Rays | 30c | 36.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Colorado Rockies | 31c | 34.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 400 | 48.5%194 W · 206 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Colorado Rockies | 41c | 24.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…93f9backed Colorado Rockies | 53c | 23.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Colorado Rockies | 56c | 20.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…47f5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 18.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacc4…9022backed Colorado Rockies | 60c | 18.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Tampa Bay Rays | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado RockiesTampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 15.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 16.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 17.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.