MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b62429444f5d88878fc9010cb0b674fd7992827afd88ae9cf9fe546caff77c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 53c | 7,211$3,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,816.44 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 46c | 6,723$3,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,630.22 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 1,911$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.34 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 44c | 1,310$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.04 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 65c | 1,169$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.24 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 56c | 678.3$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.64 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 54c | 671.07$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.69 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 45c | 626.31$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.84 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 45c | 595.06$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.35 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 56c | 567.84$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.29 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 382.67$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.74 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 48c | 377.09$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.36 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 54c | 370.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.28 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Under | 17c | 350$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 55c | 317.9$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.05 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 46c | 289.72$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.27 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e63…5323backed Over | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 45c | 216.68$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.26 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 55c | 208.31$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.74 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 55c | 200.01$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 48c | 187.87$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 44c | 183.86$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.03 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Over | 55c | 172.22$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 53c | 172.06$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.87 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 47c | 168.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 46c | 164.67$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 54c | 157.54$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.47 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 55c | 155.34$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.9 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 55c | 132$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Under | 48c | 124.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 48c | 108.16$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.28 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 100.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 47c | 98.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Under | 48c | 94.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 52c | 88.89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Over | 52c | 82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 45c | 80.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Over | 52c | 79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 56c | 75.68$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 55c | 73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Over | 55c | 70.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 55c | 65.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…69ddbacked Over | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 44c | 56.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 55c | 54.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Over | 54c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 223 | 52.5%117 W · 106 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under | 46c | 44.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 54c | 42.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 46c | 41.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 55c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4e…150cbacked Under | 45c | 31.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed Under | 46c | 30.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked Over | 56c | 29.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed Over | 53c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 45c | 27.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff5…0147backed Under | 45c | 24.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 53c | 23.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5this page
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado RockiesTampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 15.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 16.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 17.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.