MLB · resolved market
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe75901af0e4cc27cda1300c80d9faef99e15b17d3d05b4a4410038b25643df3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 33c | 6,782$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.93 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 2,171$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.06 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 18c | 2,068$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.06 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 66c | 1,714$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.71 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 75c | 1,209$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.28 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 62c | 1,115$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.09 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 32c | 980$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.42 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 24c | 762.71$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.34 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4263…81f8backed Under | 57c | 645.88$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 39c | 632.44$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.79 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 14c | 399$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 39c | 349.2$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.01 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 44c | 326.9$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.54 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 39c | 282.07$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.06 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 38c | 249.01$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.39 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed Over | 24c | 224.8$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.85 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 39c | 220.27$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.36 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…5862backed Under | 48c | 200$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 55c | 181.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.83 | 321 | 66.4%213 W · 108 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 63c | 155.68$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 39c | 148.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.63 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 34c | 139.18$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.86 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 36c | 137.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.43 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 49c | 117.49$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.7 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 79c | 104.81$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Over | 24c | 102$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 79c | 96.4$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 58c | 82.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 67c | 81.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 60c | 79.34$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 39c | 78.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.11 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Under | 62c | 78.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521f…19c0backed Over | 28c | 75.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b6…6e98backed Over | 28c | 75.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Under | 63c | 71.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 73c | 71.35$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0368…9874backed Under | 62c | 67.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Under | 76c | 65.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 56c | 65.91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 23c | 65.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 68c | 63.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 49c | 36.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 79c | 36.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 80c | 31.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 61c | 31.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…fd9dbacked Under | 65c | 30.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 61c | 25.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Over | 79c | 25.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed Under | 61c | 23.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 63c | 18.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 69c | 16.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 76c | 15.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5this page
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado RockiesTampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 15.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 16.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 17.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.