MLB · resolved market
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb5c12f2a4482aeaaeb17fbb1f898047975a1d3826a23544ba9811826fe59145
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Tampa Bay Rays, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb272…5030backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 6,268$3,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,071.12 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 4,539$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.72 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 2,594$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.87 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Colorado Rockies | 73c | 2,407$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.88 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 2,129$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.13 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 37c | 2,111$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.62 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Colorado Rockies | 52c | 1,316$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.56 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa013…2f8cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 1,265$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Colorado Rockies | 79c | 968.14$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.48 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Colorado Rockies | 53c | 937.62$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 921.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.93 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 825$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.5 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 740$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 684.52$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.53 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Tampa Bay Rays | 29c | 577.24$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.91 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Tampa Bay Rays | 22c | 566.97$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.84 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 557.98$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.99 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 549.51$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.27 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 450.76$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.21 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 399.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 370$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 390 | 51.5%201 W · 189 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 363.64$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.64 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 363.03$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.03 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 337.53$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.97 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Colorado Rockies | 69c | 314.11$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.39 | 886 | 56.4%500 W · 386 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 196.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.18 | 667 | 48.7%325 W · 342 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Colorado Rockies | 62c | 181.98$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.61 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 141.9$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 36c | 124.53$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.71 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Colorado Rockies | 69c | 119.81$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.56 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Colorado Rockies | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 878 | 50.5%443 W · 435 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Colorado Rockies | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 475 | 52%247 W · 228 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Tampa Bay Rays | 41c | 99.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 95.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.73 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Colorado Rockies | 68c | 81.77$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 76.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 39c | 75.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.91 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Tampa Bay Rays | 40c | 69.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 425 | 51.8%220 W · 205 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Colorado Rockies | 61c | 66.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…730ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 33c | 55.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 55.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 45.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…b6ffbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 45.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.51 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +9.4wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 44.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 40.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 35c | 39.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Tampa Bay Rays | 32c | 36.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbe…0801backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 38c | 30.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…11fcbacked Colorado Rockies | 72c | 27.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Tampa Bay Rays | 48c | 22.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado RockiesTampa Bay Rays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 15.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 16.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 17.5Under won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.