Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tauste: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Aryan Shah
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb60ef6256ecac82c3e64c951c0e9bfb771259daff3fab66be4e3c192ce08a8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aryan Shahof Mario Gonzalez Fernandez, Aryan Shah
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 22c | 1,565$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.49 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Aryan Shah | 58c | 882.64$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.35 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 42c | 810.74$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.75 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Aryan Shah | 57c | 530.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.61 | 189 | 47.6%90 W · 99 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 29c | 466.41$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.43 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 22c | 363.31$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.05 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Aryan Shah | 70c | 286.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.21 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…757abacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 43c | 281.31$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.85 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 35c | 214.03$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Aryan Shah | 56c | 180.67$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.14 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…91cdbacked Aryan Shah | 63c | 160.4$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.35 | 318 | 55.7%177 W · 141 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 40c | 158$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 25c | 145.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 32c | 125.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Aryan Shah | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 282 | 55%155 W · 127 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 23c | 114.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 37c | 102.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 40c | 97.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 28c | 97.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Aryan Shah | 56c | 85.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Aryan Shah | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Aryan Shah | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 217 | 45.2%98 W · 119 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Aryan Shah | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3711…2775backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 17c | 74.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 33c | 68.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 47c | 61.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 181 | 47.5%86 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…4b73backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 24c | 53.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Aryan Shah | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 33c | 38.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Aryan Shah | 59c | 36.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 40c | 34.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…6794backed Aryan Shah | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 369 | 54.2%200 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Aryan Shah | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Aryan Shah | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 45c | 24.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Aryan Shah | 65c | 24.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…3f10backed Aryan Shah | 59c | 22.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Aryan Shah | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.