CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc79af7c0ade4b7db08b95282e1a9513848657e03a050f0b4ea4e636f21369e40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Butterflyof 1WIN, Butterfly
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked 1WIN | 71c | 21,498$15,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,347.42 | 754 | 52.7%397 W · 357 L | +27.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Butterfly | 53c | 10,041$5,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,703.49 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 1WIN | 0c | 8,476$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed 1WIN | 73c | 7,000$5,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,079.19 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…80dfbacked Butterfly | 29c | 6,409$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,550.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Butterfly | 68c | 5,930$4,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 630 | 57.1%360 W · 270 L | +40.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked 1WIN | 46c | 3,379$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.61 | 1,007 | 52.4%528 W · 479 L | +27.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Butterfly | 30c | 3,183$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,229.97 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed 1WIN | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ea…7668backed Butterfly | 32c | 2,145$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.99 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +7.8wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed 1WIN | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 208 | 59.6%124 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Butterfly | 26c | 1,890$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.6 | 391 | 45.8%179 W · 212 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…e868backed Butterfly | 29c | 1,763$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.84 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4d…b4cabacked Butterfly | 28c | 1,686$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.38 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Butterfly | 26c | 1,473$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.08 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Butterfly | 27c | 1,418$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.11 | 1,605 | 52.6%845 W · 760 L | +57.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41d1…bac0backed Butterfly | 57c | 1,397$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.31 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Butterfly | 25c | 1,361$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.05 | 1,408 | 33.7%475 W · 933 L | +43.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Butterfly | 44c | 1,293$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.71 | 676 | 45%304 W · 372 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a6…bcf1backed Butterfly | 27c | 1,136$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Butterfly | 57c | 1,127$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.81 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked Butterfly | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.11 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Butterfly | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.99 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3936…6e40backed Butterfly | 18c | 899.06$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.23 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +340.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…391dbacked Butterfly | 30c | 898.37$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.86 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Butterfly | 35c | 847.99$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.31 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a8…8c5cbacked Butterfly | 28c | 800$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Butterfly | 69c | 777.65$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.07 | 278 | 42.4%118 W · 160 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Butterfly | 30c | 750$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 805 | 42.2%340 W · 465 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed 1WIN | 74c | 750$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb697…5d0cbacked Butterfly | 26c | 696.15$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Butterfly | 56c | 695.78$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.94 | 518 | 42.3%219 W · 299 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ff…b842backed Butterfly | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Butterfly | 35c | 644$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.6 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Butterfly | 70c | 636.58$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.92 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Butterfly | 30c | 610.4$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.73 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6a…9fb9backed Butterfly | 29c | 592$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.32 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Butterfly | 29c | 589.66$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.66 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked 1WIN | 52c | 579.13$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Butterfly | 29c | 537.48$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.61 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 1WIN | 44c | 492$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.48 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked 1WIN | 61c | 489.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Butterfly | 22c | 480$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.2 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Butterfly | 26c | 474$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.76 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a91…0d48backed Butterfly | 54c | 442.48$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Butterfly | 26c | 400$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 480 | 40%192 W · 288 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Butterfly | 26c | 384.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.59 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Butterfly | 26c | 380$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.2 | 309 | 49.2%152 W · 157 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed Butterfly | 26c | 379.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.18 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ef…7d38backed Butterfly | 28c | 369.74$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.31 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Butterfly | 66c | 368.02$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.28 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd437…6c5ebacked 1WIN | 38c | 331.22$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.32 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Butterfly | 69c | 323.03$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 660 | 72.4%478 W · 182 L | +117.6wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce5…309cbacked 1WIN | 31c | 322.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…ab76backed Butterfly | 26c | 315$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.1 | 329 | 49.2%162 W · 167 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Butterfly | 26c | 307.69$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.69 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed 1WIN | 35c | 299.97$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.03 | 390 | 40.8%159 W · 231 L | +30.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked 1WIN | 75c | 296$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 1,621 | 44.8%726 W · 895 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…6408backed Butterfly | 26c | 288.46$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.46 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +7.3wins | +0.19per pick | 30cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked 1WIN | 73c | 283.46$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.59 | 415 | 55.4%230 W · 185 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Butterfly | 28c | 283$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.76 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed 1WIN | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 225 | 67.1%151 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked 1WIN | 49c | 261.33$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed 1WIN | 68c | 253$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.2 | 548 | 50%274 W · 274 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…5405backed Butterfly | 26c | 250$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…76fabacked 1WIN | 75c | 250$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Butterfly | 65c | 245.32$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked Butterfly | 27c | 228.04$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.04 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed 1WIN | 40c | 221$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.52 | 2,343 | 46.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L | -49.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Butterfly | 29c | 219.97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.18 | 543 | 39.4%214 W · 329 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…ffeebacked 1WIN | 55c | 218$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.9 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Butterfly | 34c | 217$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.84 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Butterfly | 26c | 210$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.4 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked 1WIN | 40c | 208.64$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.62 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed Butterfly | 27c | 208.01$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.85 | 463 | 54%250 W · 213 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Butterfly | 26c | 205.77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.27 | 357 | 39.2%140 W · 217 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed 1WIN | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Butterfly | 29c | 198$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.58 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Butterfly | 26c | 195$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.3 | 1,069 | 37.8%404 W · 665 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Butterfly | 29c | 190$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.9 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Butterfly | 49c | 189.96$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.96 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Butterfly | 27c | 179.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.97 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Butterfly | 30c | 175$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…195cbacked Butterfly | 30c | 159.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.88 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…64cebacked 1WIN | 66c | 151.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 242 | 55.8%135 W · 107 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Butterfly | 31c | 149.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.4 | 912 | 45.8%418 W · 494 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…823fbacked Butterfly | 30c | 148$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…398abacked 1WIN | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed 1WIN | 36c | 136.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…fcccbacked Butterfly | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 204 | 44.1%90 W · 114 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed 1WIN | 53c | 129.49$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.95 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Butterfly | 27c | 118$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.72 | 478 | 36.8%176 W · 302 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…caf8backed Butterfly | 27c | 117.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.96 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1407…e56cbacked 1WIN | 15c | 115.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked 1WIN | 45c | 113.66$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Butterfly | 55c | 112.03$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 717 | 39.6%284 W · 433 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2f1ebacked 1WIN | 40c | 110$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 291 | 56.7%165 W · 126 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed 1WIN | 56c | 109.4$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 1WIN | 45c | 107.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed 1WIN | 75c | 102.44$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.83 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Butterfly - Map 2 WinnerButterfly won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: 1WIN (-1.5) vs Butterfly (+1.5)Butterfly won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.