MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee01176bd9cad83b36ac140703f5f0f53b9339d82003039b6b49c4199624224e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees | 75c | 11,429$8,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,913.69 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 8,314$2,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,929.46 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees | 66c | 6,712$4,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.88 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 27c | 5,864$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.74 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 24c | 5,155$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.79 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Yankees | 72c | 4,719$3,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.83 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked New York Yankees | 78c | 1,853$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.54 | 2,093 | 51.1%1,070 W · 1,023 L | +44.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 1,676$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.73 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed St. Louis Cardinals | 24c | 1,478$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.98 | 1,939 | 41.2%799 W · 1,140 L | -30.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 1,300$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 1,166$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.24 | 505 | 53.5%270 W · 235 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 1,148$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.65 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked New York Yankees | 44c | 1,133$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.67 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 1,037$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.35 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 836.37$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.46 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed New York Yankees | 45c | 730$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.5 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Yankees | 53c | 616.67$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.61 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed New York Yankees | 44c | 460$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.6 | 874 | 53%463 W · 411 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 455$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.8 | 224 | 47.3%106 W · 118 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 436.27$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.05 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 6c | 430$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 377.72$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.41 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 356.14$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.69 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 350$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Yankees | 67c | 340$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.4 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 300$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.27 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed New York Yankees | 53c | 292.66$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.55 | 508 | 56.9%289 W · 219 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 267.47$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.58 | 475 | 52%247 W · 228 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed New York Yankees | 52c | 222.23$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed New York Yankees | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb6…25eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 196.44$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 191.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.24 | 886 | 56.4%500 W · 386 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed New York Yankees | 64c | 186.58$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.58 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed New York Yankees | 65c | 152.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.96 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e96…33c9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked New York Yankees | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…ab7ebacked New York Yankees | 53c | 118.89$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 102.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 27c | 98.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 1,212 | 50%606 W · 606 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed New York Yankees | 48c | 97.73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed New York Yankees | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked New York Yankees | 64c | 94.13$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 231 | 42.9%99 W · 132 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed New York Yankees | 65c | 81.86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3711…2775backed St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 74.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 73.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe577…6d01backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 62.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed New York Yankees | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 428 | 49.1%210 W · 218 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 61.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 60.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked New York Yankees | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 53.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 30c | 41.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 39.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed St. Louis Cardinals | 28c | 36.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 282 | 56.4%159 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 34.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 595 | 34.5%205 W · 390 L | -22.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked New York Yankees | 45c | 32.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 736 | 50.7%373 W · 363 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked New York Yankees | 53c | 30.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 437 | 57%249 W · 188 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed New York Yankees | 53c | 30.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 583 | 58.5%341 W · 242 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked New York Yankees | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked New York Yankees | 67c | 24.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 906 | 69.9%633 W · 273 L | +94.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 24.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 20.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1,828 | 54.1%989 W · 839 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed New York Yankees | 69c | 18.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked New York Yankees | 65c | 18.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed New York Yankees | 68c | 17.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…7c0dbacked New York Yankees | 78c | 14.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 289 | 48.1%139 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 3.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 4.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 5.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York YankeesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.