Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Jablonec vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5998d64a44ccafad5b19669016a6fa39f80e3ec0ae483626ab265f2cd0320cb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 30c | 8,671$2,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 69c | 4,276$2,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.21 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 1,484$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.18 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 72c | 1,474$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.24 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 1,207$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.05 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 680.76$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.29 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 32c | 378.02$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 103.27$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 77 | 24.7%19 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -44%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 75c | 71.68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…9488backed Yes | 26c | 68.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 50.57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 75c | 48.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 70c | 47.22$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 71c | 35.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3711…2775backed No | 70c | 30.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 74c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 76c | 24.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 70c | 17.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 69c | 16.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 71c | 16.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 69c | 15.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Jablonec vs. FK Rīgas Futbola Skola end in a draw?this page
- Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-08-06?Yes won
- Will FK Rīgas Futbola Skola win on 2026-08-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.