Tennis · resolved market
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7882cff3a85d342a9e083eab8f2edacdac2729c0e4e32e9d22be40fea7acf6db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marta Kostyukof Marta Kostyuk, Madison Keys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $985,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,019,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $985,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Madison Keys | 46c | 212,862$98,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,973.98 | 744 | 39.8%296 W · 448 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Marta Kostyuk | 54c | 106,680$57,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,377.8 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Madison Keys | 8c | 76,158$6,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,218.13 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…f844backed Madison Keys | 6c | 50,567$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Madison Keys | 43c | 19,317$8,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,397.22 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8f…449bbacked Marta Kostyuk | 80c | 16,000$12,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Madison Keys | 2c | 15,396$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.84 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Marta Kostyuk | 65c | 14,763$9,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,197.81 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Madison Keys | 49c | 12,500$6,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,076.85 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Madison Keys | 45c | 11,397$5,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,103.39 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Marta Kostyuk | 68c | 11,263$7,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,623.68 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Madison Keys | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Madison Keys | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 177 | 46.3%82 W · 95 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Marta Kostyuk | 54c | 9,324$5,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,288.96 | 216 | 42.6%92 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…1ad4backed Madison Keys | 4c | 8,994$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.99 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Marta Kostyuk | 56c | 8,929$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,928.57 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Madison Keys | 7c | 6,882$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Marta Kostyuk | 60c | 5,607$3,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.44 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Madison Keys | 29c | 5,395$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.4 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6319…d371backed Marta Kostyuk | 55c | 5,300$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dc…eaa8backed Madison Keys | 46c | 4,598$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Madison Keys | 44c | 4,357$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.72 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Marta Kostyuk | 56c | 4,100$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Madison Keys | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 374 | 50%187 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…12fbbacked Marta Kostyuk | 77c | 3,874$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…ec9ebacked Madison Keys | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 175 | 56.6%99 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Madison Keys | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 166 | 36.7%61 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Marta Kostyuk | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Madison Keys | 33c | 3,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Marta Kostyuk | 78c | 2,927$2,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.87 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d33…28a3backed Marta Kostyuk | 80c | 2,814$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.73 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Marta Kostyuk | 56c | 2,645$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.64 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Madison Keys | 42c | 2,576$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.64 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed Madison Keys | 44c | 2,369$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.23 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Marta Kostyuk | 56c | 2,077$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.68 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Madison Keys | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Marta Kostyuk | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Marta Kostyuk | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Marta Kostyuk | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.99 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Marta Kostyuk | 55c | 1,863$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.33 | 377 | 38.2%144 W · 233 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2e…f1c7backed Marta Kostyuk | 60c | 1,846$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.15 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe729…6cd0backed Marta Kostyuk | 56c | 1,754$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.93 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa302…3ba2backed Marta Kostyuk | 58c | 1,714$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.29 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x66d1…c18fbacked Marta Kostyuk | 67c | 1,674$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.29 | 225 | 62.7%141 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Madison Keys | 45c | 1,667$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Madison Keys | 27c | 1,639$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.09 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Marta Kostyuk | 66c | 1,529$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.83 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Marta Kostyuk | 55c | 1,500$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Marta Kostyuk | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 345 | 55.1%190 W · 155 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a34…51fabacked Madison Keys | 4c | 1,394$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 220 | 20%44 W · 176 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…ac39backed Madison Keys | 25c | 1,208$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Marta Kostyuk | 70c | 1,118$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.24 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Madison Keys | 46c | 1,067$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.67 | 603 | 42%253 W · 350 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Madison Keys | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Madison Keys | 2c | 1,034$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 278 | 36.7%102 W · 176 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Marta Kostyuk | 62c | 1,024$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.46 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Madison Keys | 10c | 1,022$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.09 | 155 | 41.9%65 W · 90 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Madison Keys | 45c | 1,007$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.96 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Marta Kostyuk | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…841dbacked Madison Keys | 12c | 999.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 101 | 22.8%23 W · 78 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Madison Keys | 45c | 999$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.55 | 385 | 50.4%194 W · 191 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed Marta Kostyuk | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f9…5cd9backed Madison Keys | 44c | 904.71$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Marta Kostyuk | 55c | 899.96$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.98 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Madison Keys | 44c | 864.92$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.57 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Madison Keys | 45c | 850$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Madison Keys | 13c | 846.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 121 | 25.6%31 W · 90 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…ca0ebacked Marta Kostyuk | 55c | 787.93$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.57 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Madison Keys | 8c | 750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 269 | 55%148 W · 121 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…3667backed Marta Kostyuk | 55c | 720.78$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.78 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Madison Keys | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Marta Kostyuk | 58c | 677$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.34 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Madison Keys | 44c | 676.73$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Madison Keys | 7c | 666$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x398f…30f2backed Madison Keys | 32c | 652.67$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.02 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…aec7backed Madison Keys | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7b…c4ebbacked Madison Keys | 11c | 641.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 88 | 10.2%9 W · 79 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…7137backed Madison Keys | 43c | 625.61$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…de5ebacked Madison Keys | 11c | 607.7$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 244 | 59.4%145 W · 99 L | +21.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Madison Keys | 22c | 600$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 312 | 37.8%118 W · 194 L | -24.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Madison Keys | 44c | 600$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.67 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Madison Keys | 7c | 599.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Marta Kostyuk | 70c | 573.67$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.55 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Marta Kostyuk | 77c | 557.57$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.24 | 349 | 57.6%201 W · 148 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Madison Keys | 41c | 543.24$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.73 | 306 | 45.1%138 W · 168 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Marta Kostyuk | 76c | 540.37$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.89 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Marta Kostyuk | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Madison Keys | 36c | 528.33$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.57 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Madison Keys | 46c | 521.74$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 452 | 56.2%254 W · 198 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Madison Keys | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Madison Keys | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 359 | 38.2%137 W · 222 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…273ebacked Marta Kostyuk | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Madison Keys | 14c | 495.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21af…f272backed Marta Kostyuk | 55c | 479.2$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.57 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Marta Kostyuk | 54c | 475$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.5 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd666…ce98backed Madison Keys | 31c | 449.28$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…aab3backed Madison Keys | 6c | 443.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 143 | 60.1%86 W · 57 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Marta Kostyuk | 60c | 441.1$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.58 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…c83bbacked Madison Keys | 40c | 429.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.99 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10bc…0b14backed Marta Kostyuk | 72c | 428.61$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.79 | 105 | 73.3%77 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keysthis page
- Kostyuk vs. Keys: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Kostyuk vs KeysKostyuk won
- Set 2 Winner: Kostyuk vs KeysKostyuk won
- Set Handicap: Keys (-1.5) vs Kostyuk (+1.5)Kostyuk won
- Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Keys (+1.5)Kostyuk won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.