Europa Conference League · resolved market
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8315f3abd2ca94f72a545217ce0b0ab8140c7b1f40b7c84f344baac6cf0822db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 42c | 4,258$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.64 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 3,703$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 62c | 3,543$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.89 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 31c | 2,781$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.81 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Over | 29c | 2,635$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.08 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Under | 55c | 2,090$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.33 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under | 42c | 1,621$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.75 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 71c | 1,527$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.1 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…a596backed Under | 48c | 1,507$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.69 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 27c | 1,400$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 61c | 1,355$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.82 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 6c | 1,137$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.15 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 39c | 1,005$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.99 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…f598backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…5e86backed Over | 58c | 999.51$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.79 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 70c | 931.51$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.13 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Over | 31c | 869.56$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 37c | 828.38$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.61 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 7c | 820.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.43 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 6c | 757.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…85b9backed Over | 37c | 749.78$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.36 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Under | 63c | 731.12$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.41 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 42c | 588.24$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.77 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 59c | 565.58$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.39 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Over | 58c | 517.22$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.69 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 56c | 474.56$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.1 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1538…8676backed Under | 62c | 414.14$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.36 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 49c | 376.14$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.21 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 55c | 355$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.4 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 32c | 287.25$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.56 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Over | 56c | 282.62$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.55 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d0…2fefbacked Over | 56c | 227.28$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 9c | 208.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…601abacked Over | 55c | 207.74$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.46 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -66%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Under | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 49c | 177.64$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.04 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 76c | 113.55$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.11 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 18c | 105.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.74 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 19c | 97.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Over | 52c | 96.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Under | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…dacabacked Under | 77c | 80.41$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28b…60c6backed Over | 37c | 80.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 76 | 77.6%59 W · 17 L | +13.5wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Under | 58c | 78.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 68c | 72.74$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 37c | 70.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Under | 46c | 65.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…cf5fbacked Under | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…89c6backed Under | 65c | 59.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 45c | 52.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 59c | 44.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 34c | 43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +15.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 41c | 41.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…77a9backed Under | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 34.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe7…f1a5backed Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Under | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 69c | 28.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3711…2775backed Under | 73c | 25.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…19bdbacked Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cea…ffd2backed Under | 69c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +3.8wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 70c | 20.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 69c | 17.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 69c | 16.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477c…fe04backed Under | 69c | 14.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 5.5this page
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Heart of Midlothian FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 0.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 1.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.