Europa Conference League · resolved market
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe627729c73133c81863fb2569a749a2905b81c2a9c3c7cc8a6b6f220ebc3b64b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 25c | 4,787$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.77 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed Under | 2c | 3,468$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.68 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 8c | 3,189$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.77 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…5e86backed Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.97 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 58c | 1,958$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.65 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 1,824$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.99 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 74c | 1,667$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.85 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 79c | 1,659$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.4 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Under | 1c | 1,333$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -86%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 48c | 1,012$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.63 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Under | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 71c | 960.83$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.19 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Under | 31c | 930.4$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Under | 36c | 784.34$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.59 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 70c | 619.74$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.88 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 39c | 500$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 48c | 480.44$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.22 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 46c | 390.39$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.86 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 24c | 259$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…fa07backed Under | 66c | 225.08$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 72c | 221.88$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.18 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…fb15backed Under | 42c | 203.75$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.85 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 30c | 203.68$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.91 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Under | 36c | 200.27$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.31 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 35c | 184.49$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…601abacked Over | 37c | 162.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -66%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 34c | 157.58$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Over | 64c | 155.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.05 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 25c | 127.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Under | 27c | 125.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 39c | 122.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 41c | 120.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 44c | 114.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 43c | 114.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 80c | 102.04$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | +11.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d0…2fefbacked Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…09f6backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 63c | 95.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 44c | 93.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 63c | 93$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 35c | 87.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…b32ebacked Over | 52c | 83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 68c | 79.02$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 63c | 79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 36c | 78.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Under | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Over | 73c | 67.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 53c | 63.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 49c | 60.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 21c | 58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 44c | 56.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 35c | 52.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b93…d7babacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…dc1cbacked Under | 29c | 46.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 44c | 45.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 63c | 43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Over | 71c | 42.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 76 | 77.6%59 W · 17 L | +13.5wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Over | 53c | 37.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…89c6backed Under | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe7…f1a5backed Over | 55c | 36.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 66c | 33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 46c | 32.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0cccbacked Under | 64c | 31.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 70c | 28.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Over | 64c | 28.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 64c | 26.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 59c | 23.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 116 | 74.1%86 W · 30 L | +18.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3a…e974backed Under | 69c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed Under | 66c | 22.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6288…fd46backed Over | 52c | 22.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 68c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…097ebacked Under | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Heart of Midlothian FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 5.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 0.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 1.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.