Europa Conference League · resolved market
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7696b385320e82afdf93dff56a97d223f97de66d6eb0c6bb79f011c48911dc7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed No | 69c | 3,422$2,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346.02 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 31c | 2,248$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.01 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 1,876$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.07 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb1…e05ebacked Yes | 42c | 697.62$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 58c | 533.17$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.24 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…ac08backed Yes | 44c | 359.25$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.18 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa54e…bdf1backed Yes | 44c | 359.23$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.17 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 32c | 333.74$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.35 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…08edbacked No | 56c | 249.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked Yes | 41c | 236$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.24 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 56c | 225$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 57c | 189.27$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.63 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 44c | 172.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.27 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 56c | 170.31$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.37 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17a4…b29abacked No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 70c | 135.79$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.46 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 73c | 107.49$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 58c | 96.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 71c | 92.72$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.65 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 71c | 92.71$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.64 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 59c | 91.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 57c | 56.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Yes | 50c | 49.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5d…9bdcbacked No | 60c | 46.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 42c | 33.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 43c | 33.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…75d2backed No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 71c | 29.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Yes | 42c | 29.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…355abacked No | 59c | 28.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 57c | 27.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked No | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed No | 69c | 25.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…a40abacked No | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Yes | 50c | 20.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 72c | 18.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 70c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 70c | 14.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 70c | 14.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 73c | 14.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Heart of Midlothian FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Heart of Midlothian FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 5.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 0.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 1.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.