Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-In
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b5ca64c2b416c1da0f6a4301339697fa3f64a58d62cd70e47b4c4021f66fd21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshim RedForceof Nongshim RedForce, Team Secret
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8660…93edbacked Team Secret | 20c | 7,934$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.74 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nongshim RedForce | 80c | 2,635$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.12 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Nongshim RedForce | 80c | 1,848$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.09 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Team Secret | 21c | 1,443$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.48 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed Nongshim RedForce | 79c | 1,273$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.4 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 80c | 1,260$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.16 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…cc48backed Nongshim RedForce | 80c | 1,024$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.84 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…040fbacked Nongshim RedForce | 80c | 1,024$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.84 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Team Secret | 9c | 1,000$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.83 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…5709backed Team Secret | 14c | 1,000$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.93 | 322 | 45.7%147 W · 175 L | +52.2wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Team Secret | 20c | 891.5$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.22 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Nongshim RedForce | 80c | 612$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.24 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb770…3f81backed Team Secret | 16c | 611.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.74 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Team Secret | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Nongshim RedForce | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…56a1backed Team Secret | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Secret | 21c | 446$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.78 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbea9…677ebacked Nongshim RedForce | 79c | 413.71$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.93 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…42dcbacked Team Secret | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Nongshim RedForce | 79c | 309$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Nongshim RedForce | 78c | 205.5$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Team Secret | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Nongshim RedForce | 79c | 172.86$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nongshim RedForce | 79c | 168.95$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec7…4a76backed Nongshim RedForce | 76c | 151.18$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Nongshim RedForce | 80c | 149.74$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Nongshim RedForce | 80c | 147.71$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…df57backed Team Secret | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Secret | 22c | 141.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…38ffbacked Team Secret | 36c | 137.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +8.9wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Nongshim RedForce | 80c | 135.27$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Secret | 19c | 130.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Nongshim RedForce | 79c | 115$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 258 | 43%111 W · 147 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Nongshim RedForce | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cab…8de4backed Team Secret | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Secret | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Nongshim RedForce | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Nongshim RedForce | 80c | 91.81$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…a2cdbacked Team Secret | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…824cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 79c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Nongshim RedForce | 64c | 64.26$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…04b4backed Nongshim RedForce | 78c | 63.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Team Secret | 20c | 63.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +57%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Nongshim RedForce | 79c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Team Secret | 19c | 62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Nongshim RedForce | 80c | 62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Secret | 20c | 61.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Nongshim RedForce | 79c | 54.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dd…12f0backed Team Secret | 28c | 53.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked Team Secret | 22c | 50.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Team Secret | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Nongshim RedForce | 77c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 80c | 44.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Nongshim RedForce | 80c | 43.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Nongshim RedForce | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 184 | 65.2%120 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Team Secret | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nongshim RedForce | 74c | 28.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Nongshim RedForce | 79c | 24.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Nongshim RedForce | 79c | 23.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 155 | 60.6%94 W · 61 L | +14.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbafd…4898backed Nongshim RedForce | 80c | 21.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…2dfdbacked Nongshim RedForce | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Nongshim RedForce | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…5884backed Nongshim RedForce | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Nongshim RedForce | 74c | 15.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Nongshim RedForce | 80c | 13.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.78 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-Inthis page
- Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Team Secret (+1.5)Nongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret - Map 1 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret - Map 2 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.