Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b06befba71e5987fec8c70ec8e7c990827ee66d02e0dfa3d649284e07c6474e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshim RedForceof Nongshim RedForce, Team Secret
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x91a2…e415backed Team Secret | 24c | 714.58$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Nongshim RedForce | 79c | 653.2$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.04 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…89babacked Team Secret | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Nongshim RedForce | 78c | 197.04$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.34 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nongshim RedForce | 76c | 187.51$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nongshim RedForce | 76c | 187.46$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Team Secret | 21c | 149$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked Team Secret | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Team Secret | 20c | 113.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Secret | 21c | 106$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Team Secret | 23c | 85.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a42…6338backed Nongshim RedForce | 80c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Nongshim RedForce | 77c | 17.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Team Secret (+1.5)Nongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-InNongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret - Map 1 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.