Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafa93f9707d09f0b6bd88bbb93ad5cae0e394dbe7a6c3542cd8f6361a105be25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshim RedForceof Nongshim RedForce, Team Secret
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Secret | 58c | 10,000$5,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,833.03 | 524 | 55.2%289 W · 235 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Nongshim RedForce | 30c | 3,824$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,676.76 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce7d…898ebacked Nongshim RedForce | 50c | 2,472$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5997…0beebacked Team Secret | 33c | 2,227$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nongshim RedForce | 71c | 1,876$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.06 | 932 | 48.1%448 W · 484 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd99b…50bebacked Team Secret | 30c | 1,706$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed Nongshim RedForce | 48c | 1,106$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.15 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Nongshim RedForce | 67c | 534.38$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.09 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…e7d8backed Nongshim RedForce | 50c | 428$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Nongshim RedForce | 67c | 396.48$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.9 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nongshim RedForce | 52c | 376.12$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.6 | 1,281 | 32.1%411 W · 870 L | -67.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Nongshim RedForce | 73c | 374.37$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed Team Secret | 29c | 315.21$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.71 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked Nongshim RedForce | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Nongshim RedForce | 67c | 299.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 565 | 57.7%326 W · 239 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Nongshim RedForce | 67c | 290.48$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.68 | 534 | 55.2%295 W · 239 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nongshim RedForce | 62c | 287.6$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.51 | 818 | 34.8%285 W · 533 L | -61.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked Nongshim RedForce | 76c | 275.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Nongshim RedForce | 64c | 253.31$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.94 | 969 | 45%436 W · 533 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nongshim RedForce | 70c | 251.04$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.1 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed Team Secret | 31c | 227.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 335 | 46.6%156 W · 179 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Team Secret | 28c | 222$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked Nongshim RedForce | 46c | 210.55$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.5 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Team Secret | 44c | 203.05$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.34 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Nongshim RedForce | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 86 | 81.4%70 W · 16 L | +10.4wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Team Secret | 27c | 199.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 639 | 48%307 W · 332 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…8869backed Team Secret | 46c | 197.35$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nongshim RedForce | 64c | 183.49$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.32 | 851 | 38.1%324 W · 527 L | -51.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Team Secret | 39c | 181.74$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nongshim RedForce | 51c | 180.76$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.17 | 1,312 | 43.8%575 W · 737 L | -44.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a7…ca43backed Team Secret | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Secret | 31c | 142.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nongshim RedForce | 56c | 132.09$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 1,612 | 45.1%727 W · 885 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nongshim RedForce | 80c | 116.15$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Nongshim RedForce | 76c | 113.16$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0aa…96f5backed Nongshim RedForce | 63c | 110.34$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Secret | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 393 | 50.9%200 W · 193 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Nongshim RedForce | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Nongshim RedForce | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Nongshim RedForce | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 47c | 92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 1,253 | 49.5%620 W · 633 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Team Secret | 34c | 84.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Nongshim RedForce | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 404 | 54.7%221 W · 183 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5807…74dcbacked Nongshim RedForce | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Nongshim RedForce | 71c | 72.16$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked Nongshim RedForce | 45c | 71.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec24…d744backed Team Secret | 28c | 71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Nongshim RedForce | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed Nongshim RedForce | 68c | 68.94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…63afbacked Team Secret | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Team Secret | 30c | 58.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Team Secret | 25c | 54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 666 | 38%253 W · 413 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09b7…5f6bbacked Team Secret | 35c | 52.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Nongshim RedForce | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 999 | 45.9%459 W · 540 L | -27.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…040fbacked Nongshim RedForce | 71c | 44.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Nongshim RedForce | 61c | 40.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 277 | 60.6%168 W · 109 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Nongshim RedForce | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4d…b0edbacked Nongshim RedForce | 50c | 39.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Team Secret | 58c | 36.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…38ffbacked Nongshim RedForce | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +8.9wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Team Secret | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 439 | 43.7%192 W · 247 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Nongshim RedForce | 44c | 33.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Nongshim RedForce | 71c | 33.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Nongshim RedForce | 43c | 30.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 604 | 23%139 W · 465 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Nongshim RedForce | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked Nongshim RedForce | 65c | 26.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Nongshim RedForce | 67c | 22.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 92 | 53.3%49 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Nongshim RedForce | 57c | 19.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 403 | 45.9%185 W · 218 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Nongshim RedForce | 79c | 19.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Nongshim RedForce | 73c | 18.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team Secret | 56c | 18.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 936 | 49.3%461 W · 475 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Team Secret (+1.5)Nongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-InNongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret - Map 2 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.