Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Team Secret (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa949dd935b32be19f0d9145115eecad33c7181b0d6aa05eb625dae88dad11c92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshim RedForceof Nongshim RedForce, Team Secret
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4873…15babacked Nongshim RedForce | 56c | 1,367$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Nongshim RedForce | 56c | 1,358$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.7 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…60cfbacked Team Secret | 44c | 1,030$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.4 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Secret | 45c | 804.87$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.19 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Team Secret | 42c | 579.87$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.66 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Nongshim RedForce | 54c | 420.11$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.25 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Team Secret | 46c | 369.12$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.22 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a28…ff8cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 55c | 365.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.07 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…7fa6backed Team Secret | 44c | 358.41$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Nongshim RedForce | 59c | 339.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.15 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Team Secret | 43c | 249.21$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.16 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Team Secret | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Team Secret | 49c | 78.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Team Secret | 46c | 70.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Team Secret | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed Nongshim RedForce | 57c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Nongshim RedForce | 66c | 49.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Secret | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked Nongshim RedForce | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Secret | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Nongshim RedForce | 55c | 29.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfae…155ebacked Team Secret | 44c | 26.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4442…238cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Team Secret (+1.5)this page
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-InNongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret - Map 1 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Team Secret - Map 2 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.