TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$315,322
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$319,417

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $315,322 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under41c49,533$20,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,252.786,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under20c47,768$9,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,144.851936.8%7 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+58%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over63c23,029$14,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,504.1975542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over64c21,610$13,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,754.384,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2a21…9853backed Over55c17,697$9,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,733.110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a8f…e5f5backed Under59c16,739$9,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,802.951136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under53c10,804$5,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,111.55450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Under45c9,832$4,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,406.981070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+54.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over80c8,597$6,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,8431,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d67…6b86backed Under62c8,065$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,064.521090%9 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.32per pick58cpaid+55.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over7c7,706$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.4695332.5%310 W · 643 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34f6…4535backed Over39c6,609$2,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,550.6330%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked Over77c6,493$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.923452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a95…3a16backed Under59c6,134$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,533.87887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick67cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under57c5,168$2,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,221.797436.5%27 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over57c4,441$2,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,537.2181234.7%282 W · 530 L-24.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed Over75c4,046$3,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,034.42666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Over39c3,830$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,492.993928.2%11 W · 28 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-43.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over38c3,500$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.8985048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over66c3,420$2,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,256.8645249.6%224 W · 228 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Under45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over39c2,427$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.5357847.8%276 W · 302 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over52c2,407$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.632347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Under20c2,179$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,742.941127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under62c2,110$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.6819652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over59c2,034$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76080853.6%433 W · 375 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bf…762dbacked Under80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.041560%9 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc83f…ed1ebacked Over73c1,918$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4001631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over20c1,882$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.374056.9%421 W · 319 L+46.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over38c1,688$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.6369651.1%356 W · 340 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8627…8cc9backed Over62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over52c1,600$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8321136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over31c1,465$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.0335028.9%101 W · 249 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over54c1,400$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over52c1,322$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.8420059.5%119 W · 81 L-0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over38c1,292$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.1453240%213 W · 319 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6c81…98b7backed Over39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002045%9 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over23c1,257$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.710338.8%40 W · 63 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb418…ef38backed Over39c1,199$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.59742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8abcbacked Under34c1,176$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.471526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under61c1,093$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.1155351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc466…3f77backed Over36c1,077$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.7850%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under52c1,058$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.886852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under42c1,047$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.799358.1%54 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under42c1,039$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.619660.4%58 W · 38 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under61c1,024$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.289735.1%34 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed Over80c1,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick79cpaid-57.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked Over71c1,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71020750.2%104 W · 103 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3805757.9%33 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under44c968$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.0812654%68 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed Over2c929.51$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over39c840.5$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.9521440.7%87 W · 127 L+1.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over49c835.59$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.4410847.2%51 W · 57 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3351…4e2dbacked Over52c832.69$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+52.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over63c815.87$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5144862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Under56c779$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.843855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over39c769.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Over76c715.79$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5441540%6 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-25%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked Over49c715$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.35666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+59.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdeda…8e35backed Over49c710.2$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3482948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under61c660.32$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.611,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over24c561.5$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.177844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over54c555.28$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.1854132.9%178 W · 363 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under40c546$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.2227356.4%154 W · 119 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Over39c524$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.362147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+29.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over38c512$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.565750.9%29 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1c7…3a49backed Under64c508.83$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Over35c499.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1758919.1%17 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcba…c950backed Under39c481.65$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.81475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+65.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa442…3b25backed Over68c478.62$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Under21c458$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.82742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under24c416.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.66450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+54.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Under47c408.51$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.512850%14 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29d2…7babbacked Under52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1921553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Under62c399.98$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.994841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over63c396.13$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.562941.4%12 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+114.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed Under51c392.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.291233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-45.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Under33c384.57$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.293036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under42c368$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.4828443.7%124 W · 160 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under54c367.08$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.07119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick29cpaid-83.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Over11c358.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.43452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed Under57c353.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.851816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-73.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over45c350$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.58445.2%38 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over37c330.87$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2111217.9%20 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked Over57c330$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.12962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x961c…9d72backed Over71c313.7$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84dc…a8b1backed Over39c305.13$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1191428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over80c301$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.815263.2%96 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa212…9161backed Over38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under62c299.97$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.997950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over31c280.68$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5611049.1%54 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Under54c267.74$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.681921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-62.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Over67c267.04$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.786740.3%27 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Over36c266.2$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.34560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+87.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Over38c259.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.994027.5%11 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-37.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over77c259.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019441.8%81 W · 113 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over38c255.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.281,58953.3%847 W · 742 L+39.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc7e…06a2backed Over55c247.27$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.