TailMyPicks
Market

Premier League · resolved market

Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,863
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,514

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,863 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbe9f…014abacked Under2c4,408$84 inLost-$84.223141.9%13 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick29cpaid+115.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under16c3,461$563 inLost-$563.351,69034.9%589 W · 1,101 L-33.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over75c3,197$2,399 inWon+$797.6617049.4%84 W · 86 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3ac…1ce0backed Over76c1,316$1,000 inWon+$315.88771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick71cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under24c1,162$279 inLost-$279.3560445.4%274 W · 330 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under24c1,039$250 inLost-$250.3681053.6%434 W · 376 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa37d…0c67backed Over76c834.57$632 inWon+$202.884100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under25c811.19$203 inLost-$202.89735.1%34 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under28c750.72$213 inLost-$213.251,04433.3%348 W · 696 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…0009backed Over76c661.45$501 inWon+$160.45825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-66.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under25c609.85$152 inLost-$152.4656051.4%288 W · 272 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under24c531.26$128 inLost-$127.8469851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under25c421.89$106 inLost-$105.81,63652.9%866 W · 770 L+32.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x371e…0f81backed Over76c413.64$314 inWon+$99.273956.4%22 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under22c399.55$89 inLost-$88.546,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over74c355.26$264 inWon+$91.414847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under26c328.6$85 inLost-$84.9859847.7%285 W · 313 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Under25c317.98$79 inLost-$79.59035.6%32 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under24c275.72$68 inLost-$67.5511217.9%20 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over74c270.27$200 inWon+$70.2718841.5%78 W · 110 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Over76c242.76$184 inWon+$58.2618748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under27c155.7$42 inLost-$41.863043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-21.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38eb…5a6dbacked Over75c133.95$100 inWon+$33.952161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over75c126.97$95 inWon+$31.7456241.5%233 W · 329 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xece0…7dc9backed Under26c114.06$30 inLost-$29.66540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x546a…1988backed Under26c93.12$24 inLost-$24.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Under24c77.64$19 inLost-$18.834062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1d2…c938backed Over75c66.67$50 inWon+$16.67666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb88…0e4cbacked Over75c66.67$50 inWon+$16.67366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over75c54.11$40 inWon+$13.613855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under25c52$13 inLost-$133050%15 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Over76c32.72$25 inWon+$8.011050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f3…7658backed Over75c26.67$20 inWon+$6.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Over75c26.29$20 inWon+$6.67955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88ca…2efbbacked Over71c17.72$13 inWon+$5.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaca…573abacked Over76c15$11 inWon+$3.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.