Premier League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Arsenal FC O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb916b10ab4e7785e2bd10d306454252f35bb5d2da409fc2ffe280ac7018afcfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 50c | 34,523$17,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,338.58 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 21,924$10,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,868.35 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 50c | 12,322$6,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,167.17 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 48c | 4,562$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.6 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 6c | 4,214$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.17 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e70…32b0backed Under | 1c | 3,777$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 2,960$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.45 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 51c | 2,949$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.78 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 51c | 2,948$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.44 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 2,532$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.74 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed Under | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 51c | 2,250$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.02 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 51c | 1,942$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.62 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 51c | 1,824$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.52 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 51c | 1,095$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.58 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f8…894fbacked Under | 20c | 919.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 67c | 515.13$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.55 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 57c | 404.24$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.01 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 327.24$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.04 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Over | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 53c | 248.11$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Under | 51c | 230$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x929a…a3d8backed Over | 48c | 229.6$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 49c | 177.57$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.01 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 49c | 127.38$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 79c | 115$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bf…9ac0backed Over | 48c | 102.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 49c | 92.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 112 | 17.9%20 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 52c | 70.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e80…b1e7backed Over | 64c | 70.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 65c | 66.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 51c | 53.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2c…b187backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a49…a53bbacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 23c | 49.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 53c | 46.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x776a…5349backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +121%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50df…597dbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Over | 48c | 39.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 51c | 38.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aba…74c0backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +38%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 77c | 36.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 48c | 33.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked Under | 53c | 29.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Over | 50c | 29.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 52c | 26.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Arsenal FC O/U 2.5this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Arsenal FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Arsenal FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Arsenal FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Coventry City FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Coventry City FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Coventry City FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Coventry City FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Coventry City FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.