TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$250,518
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$367,197

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,518 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked Under16c108,450$17,352 inLost-$17,352.072441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under17c4,789$813 inLost-$812.8281234.7%282 W · 530 L-24.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under16c2,669$440 inLost-$439.626,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under16c2,529$407 inLost-$406.91,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under17c2,277$387 inLost-$387.0415740.1%63 W · 94 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-12.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under19c1,947$362 inLost-$362.3795332.5%310 W · 643 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under17c1,041$177 inLost-$176.957847.8%276 W · 302 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under16c1,039$166 inLost-$166.222,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under16c999.98$160 inLost-$16058446.1%269 W · 315 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under17c967.95$165 inLost-$164.556225.8%16 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick19cpaid-9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Under12c945.01$110 inLost-$109.721921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-62.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under14c714.28$100 inLost-$100119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick29cpaid-83.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under16c627.13$100 inLost-$100.131414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed Under17c593.84$101 inLost-$100.841816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-73.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over79c397$314 inWon+$83.3775542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under16c389.98$62 inLost-$62.49735.1%34 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under17c250.53$43 inLost-$42.5969651.1%356 W · 340 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3f…3c49backed Over80c250.29$200 inWon+$50.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93a4…6bdbbacked Under7c214.29$15 inLost-$15540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+146.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under17c211.98$36 inLost-$36.0411217.9%20 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Under17c99.99$17 inLost-$1720958.9%123 W · 86 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8636…81d8backed Under17c98.41$17 inLost-$16.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under16c88$14 inLost-$14.341,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under18c77.28$14 inLost-$13.912231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-41.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.