TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Arsenal FC 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,649
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,489

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,649 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under66c827.68$546 inLost-$545.8896443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Over35c561.83$195 inWon+$367.265851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over45c463.31$210 inWon+$253.312948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under43c393.23$169 inLost-$169.091,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under65c380.7$248 inLost-$247.771,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked Over57c350.88$200 inWon+$150.882962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90f…4148backed Over34c283.32$96 inWon+$186.99633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under66c200$132 inLost-$1325846.6%27 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2227…1f79backed Over34c194.68$66 inWon+$128.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under68c166.27$113 inLost-$112.656,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Over34c114.71$39 inWon+$75.711729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed Over33c109.96$36 inWon+$73.671618.8%3 W · 13 L-5.0wins-0.31per pick50cpaid-52.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Under67c104.48$70 inLost-$70520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-64.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under61c100$61 inLost-$6115444.8%69 W · 85 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8aa…e4d1backed Over33c90.22$30 inWon+$60.22450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11f5…ea34backed Over34c73.53$25 inWon+$48.532334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under67c65.46$44 inLost-$43.8659247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5690…7a58backed Under36c64.76$23 inLost-$23.3130%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Under65c57.7$38 inLost-$37.5118651.6%96 W · 90 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under66c56.59$37 inLost-$37.2812048.3%58 W · 62 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Under31c51.59$16 inLost-$15.99439.3%4 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f60…c8bfbacked Over34c51.47$17 inWon+$33.973100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+105.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x70a0…2dc3backed Over32c39.07$13 inWon+$26.57825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed Over32c39.07$13 inWon+$26.571931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under66c31$20 inLost-$20.461,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe2d…da35backed Under57c20.03$11 inLost-$11.42520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-69.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Under66c20$13 inLost-$13.24062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.