TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,841
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,539

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,841 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over6c2,729$153 inLost-$153.354,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd5e…9d93backed Over20c756.67$151 inLost-$151.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+34.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x308b…b223backed Over35c571.43$200 inLost-$2003043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under52c500$260 inWon+$2401070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under54c468.46$252 inWon+$216.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over41c369.5$153 inLost-$152.576,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Over38c249.94$96 inLost-$96.146740.3%27 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xded4…1e6dbacked Under47c212.77$100 inWon+$112.774544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked Over48c208.33$100 inLost-$1002962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked Over35c199.99$70 inLost-$702330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7655…f0b2backed Over52c190.91$100 inLost-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-51%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost-$10035347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Over46c98.74$45 inLost-$451729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over38c95.98$36 inLost-$36.475139.2%20 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Over47c79.99$38 inLost-$37.5919128.8%55 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick29cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over16c75$12 inLost-$1211217.9%20 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x852f…9be0backed Over55c72.73$40 inLost-$40250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over29c60$17 inLost-$17.413721.2%29 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a0…e8b9backed Under58c41.29$24 inWon+$17.531369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+53%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a40…007abacked Under49c26.91$13 inWon+$13.662152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfce3…c36cbacked Over53c24.53$13 inLost-$1350%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Under66c24.24$16 inWon+$8.243450%17 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under78c24.09$19 inWon+$5.21,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb52e…a398backed Over50c20.98$10 inLost-$10.49757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb111…393ebacked Over50c20$10 inLost-$10560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.