TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Coventry City FC 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,975
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,947

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,975 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over21c1,348$283 inLost-$283.21,04433.3%348 W · 696 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under79c1,177$931 inWon+$245.366259.7%37 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over22c971.41$214 inLost-$213.924544.5%109 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Under78c577.42$450 inWon+$127.034438.6%17 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-31.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under78c318$250 inWon+$68.381,24042.2%523 W · 717 L-29.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under78c318$250 inWon+$68.381,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Over23c300$69 inLost-$6929024.8%72 W · 218 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under77c268.82$207 inWon+$61.8396443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0167…8525backed Over25c80$20 inLost-$203030%9 W · 21 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-46.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over20c65.93$13 inLost-$13.1959847.7%285 W · 313 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b04…403fbacked Under78c46.02$36 inWon+$101526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.25per pick51cpaid-58.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Under80c40$32 inWon+$8.24062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Under80c15.6$12 inWon+$3.1218651.6%96 W · 90 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad22…1e9fbacked Under78c14.99$12 inWon+$3.31145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.