Premier League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Coventry City FC O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd82493a82eec544548cd28a430ba56541a35517975d6d0df2a7e2b8fd5385110
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 44c | 16,747$7,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,344.02 | 562 | 41.5%233 W · 329 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Under | 61c | 4,999$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.72 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 56c | 3,307$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.08 | 560 | 51.4%288 W · 272 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 56c | 2,678$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.31 | 857 | 48.5%416 W · 441 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 2,565$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.53 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 44c | 2,258$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.69 | 598 | 47.7%285 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 56c | 1,961$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.02 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 58c | 1,785$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.14 | 1,690 | 34.9%589 W · 1,101 L | -33.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 56c | 1,023$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.04 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Over | 39c | 1,021$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.95 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 810 | 53.6%434 W · 376 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 604 | 45.4%274 W · 330 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 875$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.87 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 2c | 641.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 1,044 | 33.3%348 W · 696 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 57c | 499.98$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.99 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…18cdbacked Over | 42c | 490$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 57c | 473$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.92 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 56c | 423.52$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.06 | 593 | 32.9%195 W · 398 L | -30.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 42c | 410.92$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.19 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Over | 40c | 264.4$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.76 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…ff8cbacked Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 59c | 170.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.83 | 1,240 | 42.2%523 W · 717 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…2d3ebacked Under | 57c | 164.88$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 43c | 153$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 55c | 145$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c20…2256backed Under | 56c | 142.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 42c | 135.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 43c | 133.61$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 39c | 133.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 57c | 128.2$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.97 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 39c | 126.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd4…b303backed Over | 39c | 125.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 57c | 122.77$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Under | 60c | 115$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Under | 57c | 113.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb81…e68bbacked Over | 44c | 111.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed Over | 37c | 107.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65a7…a216backed Under | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 15c | 102.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 504 | 50%252 W · 252 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…9287backed Under | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 56c | 93.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb302…702dbacked Under | 60c | 81.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Over | 39c | 67.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 59c | 67.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4d…a9e1backed Over | 43c | 59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 42c | 55.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Under | 57c | 52.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b09…cdc5backed Over | 41c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f4…958ebacked Under | 58c | 43.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 57c | 39.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 39c | 38.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…fe8dbacked Over | 43c | 37.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Over | 38c | 36.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.33per pick | 48cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 43c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 38c | 33.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…29f0backed Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc806…e1b9backed Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987d…2022backed Under | 60c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…a899backed Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3d…071cbacked Under | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Coventry City FC O/U 0.5this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Arsenal FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Arsenal FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Arsenal FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Arsenal FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Coventry City FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Coventry City FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Coventry City FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Coventry City FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.