Premier League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3dfc3d72e89991613da89e573b52cb3946eb65cf05162e25edf7df1f891aaad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 58c | 22,302$12,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,934.88 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Over | 42c | 21,403$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,403.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 42c | 10,911$4,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,328.43 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 58c | 9,000$5,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,219.99 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 58c | 6,061$3,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,504.55 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 42c | 5,402$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,133.94 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…18f1backed Over | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 58c | 2,405$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.41 | 557 | 51.5%287 W · 270 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 58c | 1,841$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.31 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed Under | 15c | 1,340$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.48 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 1,001$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.03 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 59c | 849.23$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.05 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Over | 42c | 761.9$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.9 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…cee5backed Over | 38c | 683.18$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 58c | 644$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.52 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Over | 34c | 573.53$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.53 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 41c | 571.21$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.01 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 66c | 543.88$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.89 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Over | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 41c | 472.87$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.99 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 36c | 468.84$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.01 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.48per pick | 39cpaid | +119.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 42c | 410$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.8 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Over | 66c | 347$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Under | 34c | 347$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Over | 44c | 324.88$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.03 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 58c | 322$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.76 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 66c | 304.12$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.72 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Under | 58c | 258$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.64 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 35c | 250.78$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.9 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…85b9backed Over | 42c | 239.62$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Over | 77c | 238.81$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.83 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 174.17$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.24 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 58c | 167$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Under | 60c | 155.08$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.05 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 65c | 135$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 71c | 130.45$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 65c | 127.01$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…6b2bbacked Under | 58c | 125$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 61c | 115.54$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…5390backed Over | 42c | 107.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.11 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 40c | 84.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.52 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb111…393ebacked Over | 58c | 80.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 42c | 79.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38eb…5a6dbacked Over | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbe…ccebbacked Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 42c | 57.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 40c | 54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…007abacked Under | 68c | 44.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…f0b2backed Under | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 42c | 33.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 60c | 31.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b77…8e4fbacked Over | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3a…e974backed Over | 65c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…a398backed Over | 42c | 25.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Under | 59c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…89c6backed Under | 62c | 22.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 65c | 20.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…aac8backed Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Arsenal FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Arsenal FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Arsenal FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Arsenal FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Coventry City FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Coventry City FC O/U 0.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Coventry City FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Coventry City FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Coventry City FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.