TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,956
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$157,521

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,956 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Over33c37,591$12,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,468.3476842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under74c16,560$12,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,281.176,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked Over43c11,601$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.963452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over36c10,946$3,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,981.234,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under68c10,704$7,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,442.511,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under63c5,864$3,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,146.9288635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Under73c4,762$3,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,285.751070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+54.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over9c2,437$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.8377336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Over30c2,350$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.993928.2%11 W · 28 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-43.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Under79c1,700$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36110960.6%66 W · 43 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Under59c1,626$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.683036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d76…1298backed Under56c1,400$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over23c1,342$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.7757833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97d6…69e1backed Under75c1,192$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.334100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over38c1,039$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40035428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19059445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over20c978.38$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.689735.1%34 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6e4…ce20backed Under56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Under72c787.5$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.54052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ff…8a60backed Under54c728.69$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.62633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over9c677.85$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.381,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31df…950ebacked Under80c667.91$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc820…49debacked Under68c629.65$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5a…c59ebacked Under54c560.01$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Under58c516.76$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.143855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3d0…2fefbacked Over37c491.05$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.42616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.9wins-0.48per pick65cpaid-75.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under77c478.03$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.7214253.5%76 W · 66 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019441.8%81 W · 113 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under66c457.72$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.721080%8 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f12…cc0ebacked Over21c449.48$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over34c447.65$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1907…85b9backed Under53c440.08$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.843100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+111.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Under76c394.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.74475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick79cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over21c377.46$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.711,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over33c363.92$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.097353.4%39 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a7b…90dfbacked Under58c345$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over26c341.18$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.514055%77 W · 63 L+18.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over27c304.66$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.21683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.44per pick39cpaid+159.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over20c278.08$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.626225.8%16 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick19cpaid-9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over21c275.17$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.711217.9%20 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under71c267.8$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.489358.1%54 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under73c266.72$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4148950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under71c255.12$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.529660.4%58 W · 38 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under62c250$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9520059.5%119 W · 81 L-0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under52c210$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.813760.6%83 W · 54 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xded4…1e6dbacked Under53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.684544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under68c180$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587162%44 W · 27 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over20c171.24$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7533551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under69c169.23$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.1328456.7%161 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Under56c168.52$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.154434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ad4…f77dbacked Over48c165.19$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb909…d559backed Over27c158.85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.89650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b13…37dbbacked Under64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over9c150$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.514144%62 W · 79 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Over33c149.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.796740.3%27 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xca75…05a6backed Over42c142.83$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.992045%9 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x219a…a647backed Under73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.996363.5%40 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick70cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Under80c123.88$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.783040%12 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8b89…9f72backed Under75c107.55$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.891145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Under74c107.09$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.846851.5%35 W · 33 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over24c106.87$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1812554.4%68 W · 57 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked Over39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4820750.2%104 W · 103 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Over33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over19c92.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2440821.8%89 W · 319 L-53.7wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Under80c91.25$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.254168.3%28 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bc1…eebebacked Over38c90.7$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.691931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over20c82$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.41,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f21…3bcebacked Over21c70$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.770%0 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d82…244dbacked Under74c70$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under79c65.89$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8459247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Over22c65.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.32326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-57.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xed8b…7954backed Under80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a67…af26backed Under80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.56266.1%41 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcd2…ce8bbacked Over41c60.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Over41c58.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.16837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb31…792dbacked Over27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc11c…b9b2backed Over21c52.38$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1130%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb284…b1fbbacked Over43c50.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.87825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-54.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Over32c49.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.747652.6%40 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bbe…c5c0backed Under67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8d…506cbacked Over44c42.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under80c38.09$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7722057.7%127 W · 93 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a40…007abacked Under74c35.85$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.322152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb903…9942backed Over37c32.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b77…8e4fbacked Under55c29.97$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.483100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf657…dad7backed Under79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.32366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76d2…99a6backed Under58c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Under63c24.76$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.162250%11 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a85…3699backed Under80c24.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.953100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf854…2f74backed Under80c23.75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87e8…2ef1backed Under77c23.24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.43580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+36.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Under73c20.63$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.634571.1%32 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+10.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under75c20.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0118463%116 W · 68 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd97…ae50backed Under76c18.45$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.441586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick69cpaid+27%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf112…21ebbacked Under66c16.21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.515046%23 W · 27 L-7.2wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1f1d…5ae6backed Under80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.58100%8 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+41%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.