TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,514
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,878

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,514 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2c33…0563backed Over15c45,323$6,798 inLost-$6,798.4418758.8%110 W · 77 L+12.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over15c25,302$3,862 inLost-$3,861.5775542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e43…c36abacked Over10c2,395$240 inLost-$239.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over13c1,903$248 inLost-$247.7845249.6%224 W · 228 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over11c1,273$145 inLost-$145.364,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Over13c1,050$138 inLost-$13819729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over16c909.14$150 inLost-$15035028.9%101 W · 249 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfae3…c20ebacked Over4c581.08$24 inLost-$24.0550%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over21c380.11$80 inLost-$79.7650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+84.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over15c331.49$49 inLost-$49.4254132.9%178 W · 363 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ad7…6117backed Over10c300$30 inLost-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over10c266.5$27 inLost-$26.6553240%213 W · 319 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc98d…7005backed Over15c221.47$33 inLost-$33.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over10c211.99$21 inLost-$21.211217.9%20 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over12c200$24 inLost-$2482763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Over23c180$41 inLost-$41.4333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over9c162.54$14 inLost-$14.461,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20c7…50c9backed Under78c136.04$106 inWon+$29.936939.1%27 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over17c108$18 inLost-$18.364445.5%20 W · 24 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+31.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0fc…097ebacked Over13c100$13 inLost-$13683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+34.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2242…b319backed Over23c59.52$14 inLost-$13.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Under79c50$40 inWon+$10.57354.8%40 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.