TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$154,329
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$184,467

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,329 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34a1…7622backed Under20c32,035$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,300.432035%7 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+50.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Under1c14,163$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.123036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under38c9,073$3,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,447.6113348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c81…98b7backed Over62c8,871$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,370.972045%9 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under38c6,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,279.981,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under4c5,911$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.45450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over60c5,060$3,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,023.945160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.9840953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over62c4,032$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.2610739.3%42 W · 65 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Under18c3,422$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.351414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over74c3,238$2,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.5688635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0b8…e424backed Under45c3,140$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.7520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over62c2,789$1,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.954847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over62c2,419$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.3535428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d76…1298backed Under45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under14c1,800$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under1c1,695$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4811655.2%64 W · 52 L+13.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+20.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Under19c1,671$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.321921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick35cpaid-62.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8627…8cc9backed Over62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under38c1,482$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.189735.1%34 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under39c1,457$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.37436.5%27 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under1c1,250$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.580%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over62c1,238$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.5454340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over62c1,118$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.8415547.1%73 W · 82 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3905757.9%33 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a1a…f598backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10825%2 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under38c999.98$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.9920040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under38c844.98$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.0955751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.454100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+93.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under35c783.61$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.591,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5e…6dd8backed Under41c751.05$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.93250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Under28c726.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick29cpaid-83.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under38c695.24$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.192,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed Under29c692.65$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-73.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x8eae…f9d1backed Under39c667.85$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8220…b081backed Under45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53b0…50b8backed Under38c547.83$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.1820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Under38c545$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.15642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed Over78c500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Under10c463.3$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.33742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Over62c424$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.122147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+29.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb7f…824bbacked Over61c412.25$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.781963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+25.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked Over62c411.29$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.293452.9%18 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ab6…fad4backed Under39c385$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25e6…74a9backed Over62c372.58$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.581861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over62c336.12$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.2623243.5%101 W · 131 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x978b…1e14backed Over61c326.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb109…d40fbacked Over62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa516…235cbacked Under25c309.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+163.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed Over60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under38c275.71$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7211217.9%20 W · 92 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90f8…5c82backed Over57c237.77$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.241050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over60c223.8$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.52683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.44per pick39cpaid+159.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under38c199.98$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.995846.6%27 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2c8…142bbacked Under10c190$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1960%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked Over58c188.75$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.751457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf407…44bbbacked Over62c171.32$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59bb…ddfcbacked Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.294027.5%11 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-37.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea16…4bd8backed Over62c159.29$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.53450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over61c150.47$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6859247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Under39c139.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.620958.9%123 W · 86 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcb1…7992backed Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcebc…01dfbacked Over61c134.7$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05c9…271bbacked Under39c129.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012233.6%41 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over58c126.4$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.091060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Under16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Over62c112.13$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.611457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Over62c112.13$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.611353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbab2…9decbacked Over55c111.96$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b23…6b2bbacked Under38c110$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Over61c109$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.514553.3%24 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4655654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Under38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3821648.6%105 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under38c99.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3869851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb508…8b83backed Under39c99.97$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0270…5a30backed Over54c99.55$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.79771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+59.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over58c99.46$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7818851.6%97 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over78c94.43$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2512554.4%68 W · 57 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over55c92$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.41,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under38c91$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.581,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.65475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.652626.9%7 W · 19 L-7.0wins-0.27per pick54cpaid-54.5%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x0962…6e40backed Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.651250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Over55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Over62c76.79$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.181275%9 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8ea6…eaaebacked Over64c75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over62c74.77$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.411573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd439…21d3backed Over62c63.42$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.11450%7 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+45.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f60…c8bfbacked Over62c60.48$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.983100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+105.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under39c59.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.210248%49 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under38c58.43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.386544.6%29 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46bd…18e5backed Over62c58.06$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c78…77f1backed Under38c57.85$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Under38c55.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.144134.1%14 W · 27 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ddf…7d48backed Over62c51.61$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Under39c48.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0418453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.