Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1c7d2b5bca5e74e30c5f6359096dd6813899f35162f1f0217320d48ca53c2da

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Arsenal FCof Arsenal FC, Coventry City FC
Resolved: Aug 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $287,682
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $283,756

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,682 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Coventry City FC	65c	150,000$97,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97,500	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Arsenal FC	35c	148,431$51,951 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96,479.91	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa797…dedebacked Coventry City FC	12c	14,034$1,632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,632.01	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Coventry City FC	33c	8,688$2,841 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,841.25	768	42.6%327 W · 441 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Coventry City FC	63c	5,467$3,457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,456.6	74	36.5%27 W · 47 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0f…3f10backed Arsenal FC	36c	4,060$1,461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,598.22	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd391…b109backed Arsenal FC	73c	3,432$2,497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$935.01	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Coventry City FC	33c	3,060$997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$997.35	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Coventry City FC	64c	2,538$1,624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,624.24	1,220	49.8%607 W · 613 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed Coventry City FC	64c	2,500$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,599.99	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Coventry City FC	65c	2,222$1,444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,444.3	321	58.9%189 W · 132 L	+13.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27e4…4803backed Coventry City FC	51c	2,000$1,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,019.31	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.34per pick	59cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Coventry City FC	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	194	41.8%81 W · 113 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaf1…0db6backed Arsenal FC	35c	2,000$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,299.99	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Coventry City FC	64c	1,908$1,215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,214.98	592	47.6%282 W · 310 L	+18.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Arsenal FC	36c	1,878$680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,197.78	155	47.1%73 W · 82 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Arsenal FC	54c	1,848$1,006 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$842.7	886	35.8%317 W · 569 L	-13.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x425b…18f1backed Arsenal FC	36c	1,727$622 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,104.98	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+2.9wins	+0.21per pick	36cpaid	+56.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed Arsenal FC	36c	1,601$576 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,024.6	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+6.3wins	+0.19per pick	38cpaid	+52.4%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9a58…3d65backed Arsenal FC	36c	1,567$564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,003.09	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.64per pick	36cpaid	+177.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6daf…a17cbacked Arsenal FC	74c	1,248$923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324.85	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-2.2wins	-0.15per pick	68cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Coventry City FC	36c	1,201$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.94	1,662	34.9%580 W · 1,082 L	-32.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Coventry City FC	48c	1,176$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560.18	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-2.7wins	-0.14per pick	35cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Coventry City FC	29c	1,113$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.97	489	50.1%245 W · 244 L	+18.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f2f…9d99backed Coventry City FC	65c	1,107$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$719.79	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	61cpaid	+31.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa492…adbebacked Arsenal FC	66c	1,101$727 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$374.33	91	31.9%29 W · 62 L	-8.3wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Coventry City FC	21c	1,067$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.17	578	33%191 W · 387 L	-29.9wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Arsenal FC	35c	1,038$362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$676.51	557	51.5%287 W · 270 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked Arsenal FC	72c	1,001$717 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.68	207	50.2%104 W · 103 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x801d…d8e0backed Coventry City FC	64c	1,000$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Coventry City FC	64c	1,000$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640	57	57.9%33 W · 24 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	63cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed Coventry City FC	42c	985.26$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.18	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-3.7wins	-0.20per pick	37cpaid	-73.2%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Coventry City FC	4c	965.53$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.09	773	36.4%281 W · 492 L	-10.3wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Arsenal FC	66c	899.99$591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Arsenal FC	35c	857.14$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$557.14	378	40.5%153 W · 225 L	-15.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Coventry City FC	39c	778.7$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.01	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.20per pick	29cpaid	-83.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Arsenal FC	36c	662.05$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$423.71	232	43.5%101 W · 131 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c2f…9765backed Arsenal FC	36c	650$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$416	20	55%11 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Coventry City FC	65c	607.57$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.92	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Arsenal FC	36c	577.62$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369.68	543	40.5%220 W · 323 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Arsenal FC	35c	571.43$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$371.43	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca75…05a6backed Coventry City FC	11c	545.45$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Arsenal FC	64c	544.52$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.78	67	40.3%27 W · 40 L	-5.2wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Coventry City FC	9c	541.93$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.77	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-24%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Arsenal FC	35c	512$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$332.8	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+4.3wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Arsenal FC	50c	503.95$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.95	354	28.5%101 W · 253 L	-20.1wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Arsenal FC	53c	411.61$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.81	209	56%117 W · 92 L	+15.9wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Coventry City FC	64c	400$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256	215	48.8%105 W · 110 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Arsenal FC	51c	400$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198	827	63%521 W · 306 L	+113.2wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+41.9%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x7096…11c0backed Arsenal FC	37c	400$148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Coventry City FC	64c	399.98$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.99	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8969…2a77backed Arsenal FC	36c	389.44$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.24	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Coventry City FC	66c	378.79$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-7.0wins	-0.27per pick	54cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Coventry City FC	65c	353$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.41	97	35.1%34 W · 63 L	-9.0wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x283c…ba51backed Arsenal FC	71c	312.43$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.6	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked Arsenal FC	66c	303.03$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.03	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Arsenal FC	36c	283.17$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.23	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Arsenal FC	36c	277.78$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.78	49	59.2%29 W · 20 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Arsenal FC	36c	277.78$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.78	18	77.8%14 W · 4 L	+3.9wins	+0.22per pick	56cpaid	+48%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd423…99e9backed Arsenal FC	39c	256.41$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.41	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9deb…536fbacked Coventry City FC	65c	254.45$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.39	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbedb…6bc3backed Coventry City FC	65c	254.45$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.39	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x153a…af29backed Arsenal FC	54c	241.53$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.1	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+3.9wins	+0.48per pick	39cpaid	+119.6%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Coventry City FC	65c	234.09$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.16	91	57.1%52 W · 39 L	-6.8wins	-0.07per pick	65cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Arsenal FC	36c	227.78$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.78	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2eb5…c2adbacked Arsenal FC	36c	222.22$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.22	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb284…b1fbbacked Coventry City FC	10c	218.7$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.87	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Arsenal FC	37c	217.99$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.91	112	17.9%20 W · 92 L	-7.1wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9403…7361backed Arsenal FC	35c	201.33$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.33	63	34.9%22 W · 41 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Arsenal FC	35c	200$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.9wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+16%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Arsenal FC	62c	200$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76	40	35%14 W · 26 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Arsenal FC	35c	182.68$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.74	41	34.1%14 W · 27 L	-4.4wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-29%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Arsenal FC	54c	178$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.88	966	45.4%439 W · 527 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Arsenal FC	57c	165$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.54	54	29.6%16 W · 38 L	-4.7wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Arsenal FC	65c	152.67$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.43	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+78.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Coventry City FC	16c	150$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.08	67	46.3%31 W · 36 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Coventry City FC	12c	150$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.8	110	49.1%54 W · 56 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Arsenal FC	35c	146$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.29	1,615	53%856 W · 759 L	+33.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa87d…ff4dbacked Arsenal FC	71c	140.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.85	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+58.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Arsenal FC	36c	138.89$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.89	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	-5.5wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f8f…aebfbacked Arsenal FC	36c	138.89$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.89	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfecc…7551backed Arsenal FC	35c	138.43$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.98	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f26…c697backed Arsenal FC	64c	136$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.96	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Coventry City FC	28c	120$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.6	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Arsenal FC	35c	114$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.1	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+2.5wins	+0.16per pick	57cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a34…a28bbacked Arsenal FC	37c	113.78$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.83	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Coventry City FC	65c	100$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	209	58.9%123 W · 86 L	-10.4wins	-0.05per pick	64cpaid	-11%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Coventry City FC	65c	100$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	66cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecdc…6eedbacked Arsenal FC	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+2.6wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+127.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Arsenal FC	38c	100$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Arsenal FC	73c	98.43$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.84	732	58.5%428 W · 304 L	+46.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Arsenal FC	62c	96.93$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.42	125	54.4%68 W · 57 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb541…8cf1backed Arsenal FC	40c	92.56$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.66	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.29per pick	37cpaid	+89.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61a7…e6cbbacked Coventry City FC	65c	91.57$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.52	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.65per pick	65cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Coventry City FC	51c	84.37$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.03	68	51.5%35 W · 33 L	-6.7wins	-0.10per pick	61cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4db1…858dbacked Arsenal FC	36c	83.33$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.33	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.64per pick	36cpaid	+177.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Coventry City FC	62c	81.48$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.52	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-3.4wins	-0.15per pick	47cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Coventry City FC	60c	80$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	310	53.2%165 W · 145 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Arsenal FC	35c	79.66$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.48	118	44.9%53 W · 65 L	-8.8wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-18%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Coventry City FC	65c	76.45$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	160	53.1%85 W · 75 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)this page
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Arsenal FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Arsenal FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Arsenal FC O/U 0.5Over won
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5Over won
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Arsenal FC O/U 2.5Over won
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Coventry City FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Coventry City FC O/U 0.5Under won
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Coventry City FC O/U 1.5Under won
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: Coventry City FC O/U 2.5Under won
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 0.5Over won
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
Spread: Coventry City FC (-2.5)Arsenal FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event