TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Team Vitality vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Enterprise Esportsof Team Vitality, Enterprise Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$240,978
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$280,079

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,978 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Team Vitality68c25,000$17,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,999.9828955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2eba…0f3abacked Enterprise Esports32c16,572$5,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,313.9419751.8%102 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed Enterprise Esports17c12,200$2,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,148.832245.7%147 W · 175 L+52.2wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+40.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x4f0e…0200backed Team Vitality79c7,586$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,999.851963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07b1…6dfcbacked Team Vitality67c6,810$4,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,574.311030%3 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick60cpaid-56.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Team Vitality66c6,500$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,32019860.6%120 W · 78 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked Enterprise Esports32c6,096$1,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,145.3215431.2%48 W · 106 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Enterprise Esports32c6,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,079.9826738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Enterprise Esports32c5,346$1,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,627.9828143.4%122 W · 159 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8660…93edbacked Enterprise Esports31c5,322$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,671.9217948.6%87 W · 92 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Enterprise Esports24c5,062$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,848.364630.4%14 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Enterprise Esports16c4,299$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,612.9840945.7%187 W · 222 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x565c…878dbacked Enterprise Esports32c4,219$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,868.752123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-34.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked Team Vitality58c4,200$2,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,417.111118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-63.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Team Vitality68c3,987$2,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,711.2518457.1%105 W · 79 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed Enterprise Esports36c3,926$1,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,517.2125554.9%140 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Enterprise Esports16c3,757$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,143.760022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Team Vitality68c3,290$2,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,237.25246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Team Vitality69c3,084$2,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,126.8856357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Enterprise Esports31c2,750$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,897.4341734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Team Vitality69c2,647$1,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,826.4725660.9%156 W · 100 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Enterprise Esports31c2,577$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.8618143.6%79 W · 102 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa80c…5a6dbacked Team Vitality55c2,223$1,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,222.821872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+19.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Vitality65c2,127$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.87640.8%31 W · 45 L-14.7wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-38.6%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Team Vitality67c2,060$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,386.9678562.8%493 W · 292 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Team Vitality69c2,032$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.274845.8%22 W · 26 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe638…40e6backed Team Vitality32c2,005$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.69812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.32per pick44cpaid-72.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Team Vitality67c2,000$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,34026447.3%125 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed Enterprise Esports32c2,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3606541.5%27 W · 38 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d76…1298backed Team Vitality64c2,000$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.99966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked Enterprise Esports32c2,000$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.997443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Team Vitality65c1,697$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,101.446317.5%11 W · 52 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c76…c163backed Enterprise Esports14c1,666$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4381070%7 W · 3 L+4.2wins+0.42per pick28cpaid+205.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Enterprise Esports30c1,508$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.711,24749.6%619 W · 628 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Enterprise Esports33c1,339$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.239646%182 W · 214 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Enterprise Esports11c1,270$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.8954342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39c9…7debbacked Enterprise Esports31c1,243$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.516050%30 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2035…dc1cbacked Enterprise Esports12c1,214$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.223647.2%17 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+39.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Enterprise Esports52c1,198$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.9653355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Enterprise Esports31c1,184$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.0328541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Team Vitality69c1,149$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.735962.7%37 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Enterprise Esports36c1,111$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.0455152.5%289 W · 262 L+20.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0328…bd17backed Team Vitality64c1,094$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7007456.8%42 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed Team Vitality47c1,076$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5104647.8%22 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed Enterprise Esports36c1,074$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.086462.5%40 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Team Vitality49c1,053$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.9246326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Vitality66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66026450%132 W · 132 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a41…20bdbacked Enterprise Esports10c1,000$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90012250%61 W · 61 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Enterprise Esports32c1,000$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6808640.7%35 W · 51 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Enterprise Esports47c948.19$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.9315147%71 W · 80 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e6d…6f31backed Enterprise Esports32c900$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6126443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Enterprise Esports34c895.22$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.8417640.3%71 W · 105 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked Enterprise Esports36c887.97$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.321055.2%116 W · 94 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Enterprise Esports35c859.99$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.995263.5%33 W · 19 L+7.1wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Enterprise Esports33c857$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.571,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Enterprise Esports54c845.11$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.1632462.7%203 W · 121 L+31.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf9b…2013backed Enterprise Esports9c835.89$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.6618735.3%66 W · 121 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb1…aebabacked Team Vitality65c815.66$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.184445.5%20 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+24.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Enterprise Esports30c800$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56013743.8%60 W · 77 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…6b9dbacked Team Vitality3c800$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2450%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e19…e1e8backed Team Vitality77c793.94$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.73742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Vitality69c762$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.7893148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Team Vitality67c740.47$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.12633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-39.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd1a…5375backed Team Vitality2c734.48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.241030%3 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick18cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Enterprise Esports54c728.55$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.3768458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Enterprise Esports33c695.38$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.98144.4%36 W · 45 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Team Vitality78c663.89$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.632544%11 W · 14 L-5.3wins-0.21per pick65cpaid-35.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Enterprise Esports67c645.23$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.6588844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed Team Vitality64c625$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40028151.6%145 W · 136 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Enterprise Esports32c625$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42520755.6%115 W · 92 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Team Vitality69c612.38$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.5425556.1%143 W · 112 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedde…0e96backed Team Vitality66c599.99$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.992857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Enterprise Esports14c582.52$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.9849255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed Team Vitality67c556.04$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.552634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-32.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed Enterprise Esports26c547.79$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.7919847%93 W · 105 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Enterprise Esports35c531.87$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.3653159.1%314 W · 217 L+41.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Team Vitality73c527.67$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.363627.8%10 W · 26 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-42.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcba6…5adabacked Team Vitality50c520$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6db…25c3backed Team Vitality21c515.67$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.863342.4%14 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Vitality73c500.04$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.5124250.4%122 W · 120 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ae4…9b8fbacked Team Vitality19c488.68$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2610348.5%50 W · 53 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb961…5554backed Enterprise Esports17c486.01$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.563125.8%8 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4281…1a5abacked Team Vitality75c478.24$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.68837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdecf…2957backed Team Vitality72c474.07$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.692060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65fe…c200backed Team Vitality21c471.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Enterprise Esports59c458.16$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.0893049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x493e…d38bbacked Team Vitality61c443.18$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.091872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed Team Vitality69c440.75$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.9233346.5%155 W · 178 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcda7…af42backed Team Vitality69c436.77$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004860.4%29 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Team Vitality34c436.25$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.386747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb637…4c42backed Enterprise Esports33c433$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.562842.9%12 W · 16 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick29cpaid+27.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa521…d609backed Team Vitality67c390$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.53363.6%21 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x75cf…be46backed Team Vitality64c382.81$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2451060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec92…98fcbacked Team Vitality20c362.77$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.55425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-50%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Team Vitality69c362.32$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25023463.7%149 W · 85 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11ca…2737backed Team Vitality69c362.32$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed Team Vitality65c360$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23425555.7%142 W · 113 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e0…708fbacked Enterprise Esports28c358.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.553946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Vitality29c357.12$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.781,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Vitality76c338$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.521,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.