MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75abb5b9b5ef0ed3f468be0b91559f2a413b750b4a7a1744151ae229df97eded
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $368,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $379,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $368,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 48c | 208,333$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,999.79 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 51c | 154,529$78,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,680.02 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 52c | 73,929$38,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,486.04 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe54…41d6backed Over | 49c | 22,276$10,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,915.47 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 21,922$12,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,704.14 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 19,380$9,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,783.49 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 52c | 17,337$9,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,015.41 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c38…1bfabacked Under | 52c | 14,853$7,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,129.28 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Under | 52c | 14,136$7,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,785.12 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 55c | 9,060$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,710 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 5,020$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,410.83 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Under | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 47c | 4,008$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,124.02 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 2,211$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.84 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed Under | 53c | 2,202$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.07 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Under | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 53c | 2,011$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.76 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 1,577$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.9 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 47c | 1,390$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.21 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Under | 52c | 1,352$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.81 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…14c2backed Under | 51c | 1,333$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.35 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…c709backed Over | 49c | 1,321$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.63 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 48c | 1,238$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.29 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 47c | 1,215$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.09 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.99 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 45c | 1,151$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.02 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 1,147$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.75 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 50c | 1,079$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.57 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 52c | 1,006$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.97 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 47c | 1,002$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.94 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…5fdebacked Under | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1713…1986backed Under | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 39c | 805.93$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.43 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 52c | 702$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.14 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Over | 50c | 598.67$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.35 | 273 | 48%131 W · 142 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 48c | 559.4$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.89 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…f59bbacked Under | 26c | 557.73$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.14 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Under | 54c | 499.98$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.99 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 43c | 479.81$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.32 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Over | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Over | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 48c | 443.04$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.66 | 172 | 45.9%79 W · 93 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f87…2b4dbacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 390.03$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.81 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dce…b2acbacked Under | 52c | 382.86$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.35 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 53c | 368$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.04 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b3…33efbacked Under | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 52c | 261.86$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.69 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Over | 48c | 224$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.52 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Over | 47c | 212.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…7639backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 52c | 200.5$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.26 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 54c | 194.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Under | 52c | 185.18$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2e5abacked Under | 55c | 181.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Over | 44c | 180$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 52c | 173.84$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.12 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Over | 62c | 161.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 48c | 157$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.36 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 52c | 154.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.39 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad3f…a377backed Over | 59c | 145.36$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.76 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…1e01backed Under | 55c | 141.55$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8951…e587backed Under | 53c | 135.72$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 52c | 125.92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 52c | 125.15$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.1 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 35c | 114.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1d…a01abacked Over | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Under | 51c | 106.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68aa…0f92backed Over | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Over | 48c | 103.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d1…f8c0backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891a…1d79backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256c…e7d1backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf05…5efcbacked Over | 52c | 96.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d81…c50fbacked Under | 52c | 95.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +123%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 45c | 91.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba0…1803backed Over | 54c | 91.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 44c | 91.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 52c | 91.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Under | 67c | 89.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 88.42$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Over | 54c | 88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e47…1294backed Under | 55c | 87.27$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 28c | 84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1d…9332backed Over | 56c | 83.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 48c | 78.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 54c | 77.41$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Under | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked Over | 40c | 73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Over | 55c | 63.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 48c | 60.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…e292backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…d071backed Under | 64c | 59.93$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5this page
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-4.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati RedsSt. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.