MLB · resolved market
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09b9f51bd1767cd5429c18092e8e1d03370831e777eaa8219e6a90febe66172a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof St. Louis Cardinals, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8144…8472backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 17,398$7,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,442.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Cincinnati Reds | 66c | 15,289$10,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,268.85 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 12,918$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 8,157$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352.8 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 8,037$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.58 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6b…13f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 70c | 6,021$4,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…2975backed Cincinnati Reds | 69c | 5,800$4,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ae…ce30backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 5,201$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e3…e736backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 4,761$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.22 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 4,677$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.13 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Cincinnati Reds | 63c | 4,233$2,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.81 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 69c | 4,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51b6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6da3…95a0backed Cincinnati Reds | 69c | 2,770$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 2,405$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.17 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 1,709$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.88 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 1,228$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.55 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 1,145$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.94 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd0…9192backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 1,011$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.33 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 1,001$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.72 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2037…473dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…c069backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc4…a430backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb11…7901backed Cincinnati Reds | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 962.18$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.76 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 873.71$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.7 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 829.47$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.26 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 751.53$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.22 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 713.26$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.17 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 69c | 660$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.75 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 608.52$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 587.45$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.98 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 564.52$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.52 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…d071backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 492.69$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.29 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 424.71$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.52 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 421.43$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 31c | 385$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.63 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 340$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.6 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 327.79$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.71 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 292.32$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.08 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 217.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.94 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x303a…7c84backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 190$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 186$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.68 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 160$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 154.49$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.34 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 142$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.22 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 125$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Cincinnati Reds | 76c | 122.26$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 115.28$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.45per pick | 44cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 113.1$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 86.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 76.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed St. Louis Cardinals | 30c | 72.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 49.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 49.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 264 | 38.3%101 W · 163 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…fe03backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 45.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…3991backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…28b8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 35.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 35.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 34.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed St. Louis Cardinals | 38c | 31.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdca…5382backed St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 30.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…f6c9backed Cincinnati Reds | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Cincinnati Reds | 67c | 16.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae41…8311backed Cincinnati Reds | 68c | 16.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cincinnati Reds | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-4.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati RedsSt. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.