MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d8e0630bd63491f2a77d1e0fb0f2750ec4ff118151bade96b00700813d7c467
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof St. Louis Cardinals, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,321,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,604,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,321,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 575 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 207,510$124,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,769.07 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 99,291$40,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,589.82 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 74,799$39,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,643.57 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 60,852$29,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,817.71 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 50,181$15,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,508.04 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 47,199$19,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,317.82 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 43,717$16,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,630.67 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 40,000$18,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,199.99 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2aee…b327backed St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 36,121$25,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,897.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed St. Louis Cardinals | 69c | 35,086$24,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,876.53 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 31,932$16,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,646.58 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 29,949$9,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,253.98 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…db13backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 26,000$12,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,899.94 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…230dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 22,988$9,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,743.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 16,551$5,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,298.34 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 15,274$7,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,947.59 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 14,739$7,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,811.8 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 13,564$4,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,268.52 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 71c | 11,972$8,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,471.83 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 10,556$5,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,489.07 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 10,500$5,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,565 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 10,383$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,383.42 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…aa1abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 8,621$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,620.69 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 8,063$2,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,894.37 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 7,952$3,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,975.85 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 7,768$3,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,884.16 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 7,604$3,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,713.71 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfc…bf06backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 7,300$3,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,577 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 65c | 7,018$4,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed St. Louis Cardinals | 74c | 6,823$5,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.63 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3da…96b0backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 6,629$3,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,158.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c03…522dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 6,040$1,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.27 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 5,575$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,090.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 5,155$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,629.04 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c85…9634backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 5,018$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,458.64 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c8…8f5abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 5,000$2,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.73 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Cincinnati Reds | 14c | 4,351$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.44 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 3,779$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 3,601$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.26 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 3,582$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.2 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…ff78backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 3,485$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 3,371$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.6 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 3,350$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050.42 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 3,312$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.85 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ae…ce30backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 3,281$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 3,032$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.09 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.97 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 2,871$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.99 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 2,793$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.8 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 2,657$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.97 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 2,500$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.2 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 2,337$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.58 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 2,165$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.77 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 2,124$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.71 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Cincinnati Reds | 15c | 2,020$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.28 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…9324backed St. Louis Cardinals | 69c | 1,995$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.68 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…764ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…e4c4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…0bf6backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 1,780$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 1,763$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.06 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 1,751$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.65 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed St. Louis Cardinals | 72c | 1,667$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 1,522$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.41 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de2…11a9backed Cincinnati Reds | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…cc95backed St. Louis Cardinals | 69c | 1,427$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.45 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51b6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 1,400$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…ddc0backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 1,400$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.09 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 1,398$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.96 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 41c | 1,388$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.31 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Cincinnati Reds | 18c | 1,383$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.01 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 1,366$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.49 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.05 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf405…9df2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.83 | 250 | 66.4%166 W · 84 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 1,200$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 1,200$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 27c | 1,188$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 1,187$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.71 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 1,169$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.55 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.45per pick | 44cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 1,149$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.25 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…28b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 1,118$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…bebbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 73c | 1,083$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.87 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 1,049$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.46 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x701a…a17abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…8bddbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 1,029$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 1,002$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.05 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.04 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…ee15backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…b575backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-4.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.