MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9019df917a2138b6c262b8328bb287198155d75692c95b01c386c7a0a95837b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 41c | 75,803$30,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,821.01 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 59c | 61,185$35,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,225.89 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Under | 59c | 14,116$8,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,787.38 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 44c | 13,462$5,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,923.06 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 56c | 6,861$3,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,018.71 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 41c | 6,358$2,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,606.9 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 42c | 3,363$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.84 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 57c | 3,283$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.84 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…68cabacked Under | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 57c | 2,495$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.66 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 59c | 2,138$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.58 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 56c | 2,137$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.16 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 57c | 2,010$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.42 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 59c | 1,516$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.56 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Under | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 44c | 1,380$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.2 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Under | 59c | 1,100$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 53c | 1,067$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.49 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked Under | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.63 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 44c | 1,024$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.56 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 43c | 994.39$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.66 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 44c | 887.29$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.16 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 57c | 855.28$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.77 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 35c | 692.68$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.37 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Over | 44c | 654.34$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.19 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 57c | 529.42$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.31 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5e…2ea3backed Over | 8c | 499.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 45 | 0%0 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 57c | 471.82$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.88 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 44c | 465.12$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.65 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Over | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 400$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 40c | 338.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.6 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Under | 57c | 329.89$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.85 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 59c | 304.8$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.95 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 59c | 298.66$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.45 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 44c | 276$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.44 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked Under | 56c | 274.42$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.75 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 41c | 217.93$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.35 | 172 | 45.9%79 W · 93 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed Over | 44c | 217.39$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.65 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 42c | 210$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 56c | 189.56$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.47 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Under | 59c | 187.12$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Over | 44c | 179.27$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 34c | 178$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Under | 59c | 169.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.5 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…53d5backed Under | 73c | 165.48$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Over | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 53c | 136.61$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 45c | 135.41$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 47c | 122.04$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 57c | 120.48$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 59c | 119.69$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Over | 44c | 108.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed Over | 44c | 108.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked Over | 44c | 108.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Over | 44c | 108.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.82 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 56c | 108$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 67c | 90$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Under | 64c | 88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Over | 44c | 84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 223 | 52.5%117 W · 106 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Over | 44c | 77.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…ad67backed Under | 57c | 73.18$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.47 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Under | 59c | 72.81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b6…867fbacked Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 59c | 66.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 42c | 58.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 59c | 56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…cfdebacked Over | 44c | 54.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…4efebacked Over | 42c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…0cf9backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…8002backed Over | 43c | 45.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 41.8%66 W · 92 L | -12.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…ab77backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fd…9994backed Over | 43c | 44.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc915…2b84backed Over | 44c | 43.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…c856backed Under | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd3…99b2backed Under | 58c | 36.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…5884backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 59c | 32.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over | 44c | 30.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…8fb4backed Over | 44c | 30.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Over | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 45c | 25.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Over | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Under | 56c | 24.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 250 | 53.2%133 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Over | 44c | 23.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Under | 59c | 23.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Under | 69c | 20.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…eb01backed Under | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles AngelsKansas City Royals won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.