MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc24bcc1a5bbd1ce42a18a5068c7083f0a8086acf50fcd8f9f71a0009a64d7ca6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 51c | 137,037$69,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69,518.61 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 51,688$25,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,363.16 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 23,944$11,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,057.5 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 22,796$11,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,625.85 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 49c | 11,948$5,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,117.13 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Under | 50c | 10,681$5,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,340.51 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 7,892$3,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,025.32 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Under | 49c | 6,042$2,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,081.66 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 51c | 5,800$2,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,958 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Under | 49c | 5,697$2,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,905.35 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fb…4c2abacked Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…68cabacked Under | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Under | 49c | 2,156$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.53 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 54c | 1,333$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.34 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 54c | 1,274$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.18 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 18c | 1,057$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.39 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 55c | 1,024$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.36 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 50c | 847$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.5 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 48c | 724.25$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.61 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 42c | 596.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.93 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Under | 49c | 590.19$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 3c | 540$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 45c | 522.04$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.12 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 49c | 500.65$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.13 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 51c | 455.02$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.73 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 51c | 339$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.89 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 56c | 300$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.33 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 283.32$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.14 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 49c | 279.18$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.1 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Over | 54c | 260.1$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.75 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 49c | 227.88$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.22 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Over | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 52c | 218$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.96 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed Under | 49c | 196.07$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Under | 49c | 161.64$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.64 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 53c | 160.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 39c | 151$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 51c | 144.67$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.78 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 55c | 138$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 51c | 137$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 53c | 130.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.22 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under | 49c | 130$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 18c | 120.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 50c | 114$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 52c | 107.52$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.01 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 106.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.41 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 65c | 106.25$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 53c | 103.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 49c | 101.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.79 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 49c | 99.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed Under | 49c | 98.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked Under | 49c | 98.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Under | 48c | 98.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Under | 77c | 97.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | -14.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 46c | 89.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Under | 53c | 82.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Under | 49c | 68.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 49c | 65.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Over | 40c | 65.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 250 | 53.2%133 W · 117 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…fcdfbacked Under | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…e4a3backed Over | 44c | 63.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Under | 48c | 58.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over | 55c | 49.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…cfdebacked Under | 50c | 48.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa21e…044abacked Over | 52c | 43.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…0cf9backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…ab77backed Under | 49c | 40.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…8002backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…4efebacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fd…9994backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…a3b7backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…4e03backed Over | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b6…867fbacked Over | 51c | 37.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 57c | 37.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Over | 32c | 36.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Over | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Under | 49c | 32.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 43c | 31.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…8fb4backed Under | 49c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Over | 54c | 26.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Under | 42c | 24.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Under | 50c | 21.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50c…8d26backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles AngelsKansas City Royals won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles AngelsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.