MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2407d896eb3c54efa8cf77183654599ecbc7d01c7f0fcf997606a1d920b2fb10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Athletics, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $374,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $376,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $374,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Athletics | 19c | 54,450$10,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,142.32 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 32,787$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,786.88 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 74c | 24,078$17,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,337.54 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Athletics | 33c | 20,172$6,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750.69 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Athletics | 27c | 19,251$5,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,169.57 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 15,177$9,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,865.88 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9a…195dbacked Athletics | 43c | 13,561$5,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,853 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 69c | 12,833$8,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990.63 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Athletics | 39c | 12,821$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 12,500$5,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,224.99 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Athletics | 39c | 10,808$4,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,161.06 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Athletics | 39c | 7,500$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 5,618$3,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,247.13 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Athletics | 42c | 5,304$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.51 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Athletics | 39c | 5,304$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.52 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 5,199$3,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.88 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Athletics | 39c | 5,132$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.15 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe54…41d6backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 4,662$2,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.74 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Athletics | 38c | 4,209$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.33 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 63c | 3,436$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.06 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Athletics | 9c | 3,333$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.69 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 3,230$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.4 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Athletics | 47c | 3,055$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.31 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 2,707$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.12 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…c9a7backed Athletics | 40c | 2,524$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.64 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 2,100$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.03 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Athletics | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Athletics | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Athletics | 71c | 1,942$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.81 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Athletics | 39c | 1,934$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.59 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 70c | 1,908$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.41 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Athletics | 39c | 1,897$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.98 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Athletics | 10c | 1,600$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Athletics | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Athletics | 6c | 1,438$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.14 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Athletics | 39c | 1,333$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.87 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 1,250$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Athletics | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Athletics | 39c | 1,024$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.36 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…1901backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 998.98$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.6 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Athletics | 38c | 998.97$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.61 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics | 25c | 996.6$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.31 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Athletics | 66c | 911$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.3 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Athletics | 23c | 901.2$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.76 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Cincinnati Reds | 71c | 881.88$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.88 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics | 39c | 869.84$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.19 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Athletics | 39c | 820$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.8 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Athletics | 40c | 757.87$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.41 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Athletics | 39c | 725.96$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.86 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Cincinnati Reds | 79c | 703.84$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.47 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 77c | 657.31$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.89 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 72c | 593.45$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.94 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.71 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a55…5a54backed Athletics | 39c | 520.05$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.82 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Athletics | 39c | 513$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.07 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed Athletics | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -10.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Athletics | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Athletics | 38c | 499.93$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.97 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Athletics | 15c | 499.56$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 473.5$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.81 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 449.66$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.42 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 442$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.38 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed Athletics | 67c | 438.47$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.77 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 400.01$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Athletics | 39c | 393.94$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.64 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Athletics | 38c | 390.01$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.87 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Cincinnati Reds | 74c | 383.73$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.77 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…bdc6backed Cincinnati Reds | 73c | 380.54$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.21 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 72cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4f…ad73backed Cincinnati Reds | 66c | 303.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe474…0200backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Athletics | 40c | 298.95$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Athletics | 40c | 289.85$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.94 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Athletics | 23c | 287.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Athletics | 39c | 282.07$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 268.62$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…44d6backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 266.53$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.95 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 262.95$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Athletics | 38c | 259.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Athletics | 38c | 259.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…604abacked Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 258.06$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.06 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f3…b21cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 254.2$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.51 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Athletics | 32c | 249.19$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.76 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Athletics | 20c | 245.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b7…9f1fbacked Athletics | 67c | 235.71$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.93 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…663fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 221.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.58 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 210$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Cincinnati Reds | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 196.72$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 195$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.73 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Athletics | 41c | 194.85$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.34 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 75c | 180$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Athletics | 39c | 170$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Athletics | 38c | 169.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9278…9a1bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 161.29$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.19 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 161$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.