MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5626a4dd2eee4d8627bb82bcf5f870dcbcafd3b43c1ba09bc251a41b5c2ed4d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $211,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 46c | 100,000$46,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,000 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 54c | 67,875$36,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,652.73 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 54c | 57,110$30,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,797.38 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 46c | 19,802$9,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,731.51 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 18,270$10,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,059.24 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 53c | 13,103$6,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,944.58 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Under | 53c | 7,078$3,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,751.28 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 45c | 6,881$3,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,765.43 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 45c | 6,108$2,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330.34 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Over | 45c | 5,336$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,953.14 | 326 | 52.5%171 W · 155 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 45c | 4,600$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 4,256$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.49 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 47c | 3,989$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.36 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Over | 70c | 3,954$2,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.91 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 47c | 3,695$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.31 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 51c | 3,615$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.14 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 46c | 3,466$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.4 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 52c | 2,770$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.14 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 2,727$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.61 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 44c | 2,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 46c | 2,340$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.6 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 47c | 1,935$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.36 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 46c | 1,911$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.76 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 46c | 1,347$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.05 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 47c | 1,269$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.77 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 1,172$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.03 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 54c | 1,085$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.9 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 51c | 1,072$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.62 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…e11cbacked Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.66 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.66 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 46c | 1,036$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.96 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 47c | 1,033$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.23 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…4fadbacked Under | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed Under | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed Under | 3c | 999.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 47c | 967.32$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.68 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Over | 53c | 948.09$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Under | 53c | 820$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 46c | 798$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.91 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 53c | 768.61$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.36 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 749.99$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.14 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 53c | 641.94$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.23 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Over | 47c | 619.09$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.12 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 62c | 600$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 52c | 599.83$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.92 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 43c | 581$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.17 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 54c | 501$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.54 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Under | 52c | 450.79$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.41 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -13.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 10c | 444.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 51c | 442.82$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.35 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Under | 23c | 398.26$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 51c | 361.5$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.01 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 47c | 318.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.78 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 46c | 317.21$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.81 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.28 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 58c | 247.2$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.38 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 47c | 234.06$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.05 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 49c | 191.9$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.15 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Under | 51c | 182.8$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.78 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Under | 51c | 182.8$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.78 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 57c | 180$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 41c | 167.23$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.43 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 47c | 160$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fd…3193backed Under | 62c | 156.45$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 52c | 155.26$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.71 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 45c | 149.97$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.49 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 42c | 140.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.71 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Under | 53c | 117.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.53 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…00f6backed Over | 46c | 109$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 272 | 44.9%122 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 46c | 105.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 45c | 102.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 47c | 101.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…5862backed Over | 62c | 96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Under | 20c | 93.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 47c | 88.87$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.79 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 48c | 84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Under | 52c | 79.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 223 | 52.5%117 W · 106 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 56c | 79.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Under | 38c | 68.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…b6ffbacked Over | 45c | 66.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +9.4wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Under | 53c | 55.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Under | 41c | 54.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 54c | 54.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6987…846bbacked Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Under | 53c | 49.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 51c | 46.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…79ddbacked Over | 47c | 43.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcb…65fcbacked Under | 52c | 40.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…511fbacked Under | 53c | 39.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Under | 55c | 39.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5this page
- Athletics vs. Cincinnati RedsCincinnati Reds won
- Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Over won
- Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Under won
- Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.