TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$119,752
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$124,431

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,752 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5aa9…febebacked Under68c10,943$7,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,457.551,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under19c10,473$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,453.311,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under58c6,691$3,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,784.9564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over78c5,414$4,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,198.011,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over42c4,515$1,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,877.876,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over46c4,500$2,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,085.332,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under69c2,658$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.1162144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under25c2,476$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,865.341,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over49c2,298$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.661,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under73c1,996$1,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.062,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under50c1,834$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.3255251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under29c1,763$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.3856646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under57c1,621$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69714148.2%68 W · 73 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over53c1,572$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.398,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over55c1,529$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.7536051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over71c1,517$1,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.4142842.5%182 W · 246 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over56c1,438$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.1752861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under58c1,291$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.5525352.6%133 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over40c1,282$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.818140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over42c1,258$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.761,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed Under58c1,200$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5044443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Over17c1,154$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.646636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over43c1,143$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.1752150.9%265 W · 256 L+18.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under55c1,071$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.8453842%226 W · 312 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over45c1,011$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.721,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf280…d801backed Over60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43066352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over53c937.14$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9718557.3%106 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Under28c914.79$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.7112451.6%64 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Over56c886.51$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.66038.3%23 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Under59c750.32$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.8889444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over71c734.72$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52518941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1708…0619backed Over43c581.18$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25060%0 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over54c554.01$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9725150.6%127 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over65c548.71$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.281,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Under57c465.21$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.0422844.7%102 W · 126 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over42c360.45$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.911,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aba…74c0backed Under57c342.54$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.291861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f61…f488backed Over44c340.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509642.7%41 W · 55 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Over52c335.02$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.177152.1%37 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under49c319.83$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1168838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over53c297.33$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.581,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over50c290$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.8193148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under58c277.22$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.5630448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Under18c250$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20526233.6%88 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over41c234.26$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0521147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over49c228.34$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9532654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8286…6aa5backed Over63c223.94$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over51c219.75$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.761,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8077…ffefbacked Under43c212$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.84850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over50c208.9$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9359255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Under53c208$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7629458.5%172 W · 122 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Over51c205.93$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0621953.4%117 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under19c201.64$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6737652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over73c201$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.1230842.9%132 W · 176 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed1…3363backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over15c185.88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.625045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over42c185.56$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.144,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f2a…e0d7backed Under49c183.67$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.671471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+55.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over31c183.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0130551.5%157 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Over23c173$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7916429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over46c170.24$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3110944%48 W · 61 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over74c167.79$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.611,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under48c163.7$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4652053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08be…bea8backed Under73c163.3$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.310861.1%66 W · 42 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Over49c156.61$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7421849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa1…36f6backed Under57c155$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.65475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33d2…9ac2backed Under25c154.88$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.16977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+70.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over50c154.41$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7455751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under50c154.2$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5825340.3%102 W · 151 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f12…effbbacked Over50c153.48$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.74875%6 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+104.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over74c144.78$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.147146.5%33 W · 38 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Over26c131.27$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.132951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe64f…6cc3backed Under79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.58966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a16…5ce9backed Under57c125$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.751369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+46.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Over25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021242%89 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under53c111.55$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9734255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e3a…55babacked Over20c108$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick40cpaid-79.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under45c104$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.278639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over51c100.55$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.8560250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under57c98.28$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.491,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Over49c97.96$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489061.1%55 W · 35 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x55da…74efbacked Under52c96.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.263259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over59c91.58$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0389048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30f8…b824backed Under57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.721822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1992…30e2backed Under24c79.15$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.515839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under47c74.72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6820558.5%120 W · 85 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Over63c72.79$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9127245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Over55c72.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.787154.9%39 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Under38c67.37$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.776141%25 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Under47c67.28$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.662070%14 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over54c63.95$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6225554.5%139 W · 116 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under45c59.61$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.599853.1%52 W · 46 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Over48c52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9611555.7%64 W · 51 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb95e…1a68backed Under77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed Under49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.021838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over50c50.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.443,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2510757%61 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7319…1a56backed Under52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.081764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6553…aa3cbacked Over42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209046.7%42 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.