NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb67008cc82432d4f24fcbc98516ba6000bc1a0753bd1692086de1e180ea0aca1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $195,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $235,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Trail Blazers | 57c | 23,793$13,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,564.61 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 18,260$8,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,578.9 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…1ce4backed Spurs | 52c | 11,748$6,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,639.33 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Spurs | 51c | 10,783$5,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,283.44 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Spurs | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.96 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 9,911$4,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,617.28 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e3…fbb2backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 9,833$4,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,719.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Trail Blazers | 72c | 9,750$7,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,019.93 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 9,045$4,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,431.81 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…74e9backed Spurs | 48c | 6,241$2,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,245.13 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Spurs | 52c | 5,829$3,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,798 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Spurs | 53c | 5,542$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,627.81 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Spurs | 53c | 5,399$2,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,537.7 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 5,365$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,789.87 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs | 56c | 3,714$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.35 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Spurs | 52c | 3,661$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.5 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 3,621$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.02 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Spurs | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Spurs | 55c | 2,892$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.76 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Spurs | 52c | 2,848$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.26 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 2,271$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.79 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Spurs | 38c | 2,180$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.57 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Spurs | 51c | 1,912$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.04 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Spurs | 57c | 1,700$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.93 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Spurs | 54c | 1,531$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.09 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Spurs | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 1,275$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.63 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Spurs | 44c | 1,209$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.18 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…ad24backed Spurs | 56c | 1,207$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.21 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 1,202$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.15 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Trail Blazers | 42c | 1,100$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Spurs | 39c | 1,062$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.39 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Spurs | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.9 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.4 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Spurs | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Spurs | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.25 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Spurs | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.25 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Spurs | 59c | 930.61$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.12 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc43c…e9e8backed Spurs | 52c | 927.55$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.22 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 898.46$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.7 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 880$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.8 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 833.98$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.89 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 806.64$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.61 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…da7fbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 803.3$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…0d2cbacked Spurs | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 777.97$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.66 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 760.91$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.43 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 686.2$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.79 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Spurs | 56c | 598.03$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.14 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs | 43c | 588.84$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.08 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcada…f2a3backed Spurs | 52c | 560.3$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.95 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 521.05$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.05 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Spurs | 38c | 506.74$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.18 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Spurs | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Spurs | 80c | 478.48$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…ffa9backed Spurs | 54c | 464.01$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0351…ab88backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 422.69$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Spurs | 45c | 298.29$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.06 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Spurs | 52c | 291.36$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.85 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Spurs | 52c | 291.36$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.85 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…3ea9backed Spurs | 70c | 280.57$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.17 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…8d65backed Spurs | 54c | 270.11$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Spurs | 47c | 247.8$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.62 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…c870backed Spurs | 55c | 227.31$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.29 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Spurs | 44c | 219.64$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 362 | 48.1%174 W · 188 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc9…c790backed Trail Blazers | 42c | 218.38$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.72 | 147 | 31.3%46 W · 101 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 204.16$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.45 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 194.23$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.03 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 194.06$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…13f4backed Spurs | 46c | 157.76$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…b524backed Spurs | 52c | 150.16$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.48 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Spurs | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 141.28$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.82 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…3248backed Trail Blazers | 74c | 140.54$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7291…3d0fbacked Spurs | 53c | 136.6$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.49 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…d614backed Spurs | 52c | 132.4$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Spurs | 58c | 129.46$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 336 | 32.4%109 W · 227 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 127.37$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Trail Blazers | 44c | 127.37$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Trail Blazers | 44c | 127.37$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 127.37$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2e…3ef0backed Spurs | 56c | 122.59$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.11 | 263 | 45.6%120 W · 143 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc83…ee1ebacked Spurs | 53c | 119.18$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.02 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…a25dbacked Spurs | 53c | 116.62$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Spurs | 52c | 116.54$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.94 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Spurs | 56c | 111.82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Spurs | 52c | 109.92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.76 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Trail Blazers | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…029abacked Spurs | 27c | 109.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.72 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…2f4abacked Spurs | 33c | 109.49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.36 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Spurs | 54c | 108.04$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…f4cbbacked Trail Blazers | 44c | 107.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7d…695fbacked Spurs | 56c | 106.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Spurs | 46c | 105.66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.28 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Spurs | 52c | 103.94$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 240 | 44.6%107 W · 133 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ff…f4fabacked Spurs | 48c | 100.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +53%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Spurs | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…308ebacked Spurs | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Scoot Henderson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Scoot Henderson: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. Trail BlazersSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 216.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 218.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.