TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,115
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,150

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,115 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xacc9…c790backed No59c1,279$754 inWon+$525.3914731.3%46 W · 101 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7196…08d3backed Yes40c482.6$193 inLost-$192.791838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed Yes41c204.68$84 inLost-$83.9210636.8%39 W · 67 L-14.9wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed No61c200.05$122 inWon+$77.9739864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x170e…aa0dbacked Yes39c200$78 inLost-$78450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b7…48d4backed Yes43c159.65$69 inLost-$68.57540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+129.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87c0…244ebacked Yes44c106.83$47 inLost-$47.325644.6%25 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No61c99.99$61 inWon+$3956050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Yes32c99.59$32 inLost-$31.879627.1%26 W · 70 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e6f…cb64backed No66c96.49$64 inWon+$32.522560%15 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c5c…e316backed Yes41c72.35$30 inLost-$29.665248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67f3…d3e7backed Yes40c72.3$29 inLost-$28.925135.3%18 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16f8…31e9backed Yes45c66.87$30 inLost-$30.047647.4%36 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3f…14c4backed Yes39c59.29$23 inLost-$23.1240%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No55c59.16$33 inWon+$26.621,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Yes40c56.88$23 inLost-$22.7549247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1174…059abacked No75c54.08$40 inWon+$13.64977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+38.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ef6…38b5backed Yes39c49.63$19 inLost-$19.361526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked No60c30$18 inWon+$1226957.2%154 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7200…9299backed Yes40c28.92$12 inLost-$11.5736954.7%202 W · 167 L+28.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf55a…f8f0backed Yes39c26.92$11 inLost-$10.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No74c26.72$20 inWon+$7.014,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a1…7c9dbacked No64c25.54$16 inWon+$9.1913764.2%88 W · 49 L+15.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1f06…114ebacked No61c24.01$15 inWon+$9.371353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7861…3d27backed No68c21.2$14 inWon+$6.787930.4%24 W · 55 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.