NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04d74c98ea21cc6abeee441ec1a049b140bbcdca906714ee3c5b1d12a9c914af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Spurs, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spurs | 51c | 75,895$38,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,045.81 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 44,470$21,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,648.26 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 26,532$12,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,735.46 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…7a2bbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 18,285$9,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,085.01 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Spurs | 32c | 11,647$3,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,977.78 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Spurs | 51c | 4,830$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,347.73 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Spurs | 45c | 4,400$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.18 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 4,135$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.24 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 3,507$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.6 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Spurs | 62c | 3,197$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.92 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked Spurs | 56c | 2,087$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 1,130$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.43 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Spurs | 46c | 1,069$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.03 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Spurs | 55c | 973$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.85 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Spurs | 52c | 869.37$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.3 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Spurs | 45c | 819.11$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.51 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Trail Blazers | 24c | 692.62$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.07 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Spurs | 16c | 623.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.16 | 295 | 47.5%140 W · 155 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Spurs | 51c | 606.34$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.44 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 605.38$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.64 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Spurs | 54c | 604.76$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.19 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87e5…74f7backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 498.41$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.54 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 474.21$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.58 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Trail Blazers | 24c | 471.16$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.56 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60da…a14ebacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 420.46$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.41 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 389.2$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.06 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6794…0a8bbacked Trail Blazers | 24c | 362.19$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.93 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Trail Blazers | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Spurs | 51c | 299.41$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.71 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 296.76$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.41 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 242.5$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.25 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1969…076abacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 195.11$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c12…b8f3backed Spurs | 55c | 178.17$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.9 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs | 51c | 169.57$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.53 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aab…773bbacked Spurs | 54c | 140.61$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Spurs | 72c | 138$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 134.62$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Spurs | 72c | 130.08$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 106.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb41…8536backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Spurs | 48c | 101.32$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 221 | 70.6%156 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 92.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Spurs | 45c | 89.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.39 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 89.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 89.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 89.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 87.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.63 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Spurs | 55c | 86.66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…65a4backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 85.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47d2…1945backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 76.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…3e87backed Spurs | 52c | 75.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Spurs | 56c | 74.27$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30bb…f258backed Spurs | 54c | 72.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 70.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 271 | 38.7%105 W · 166 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Trail Blazers | 61c | 69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Trail Blazers | 73c | 67.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…e5acbacked Spurs | 39c | 61.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 200 | 55.5%111 W · 89 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09d…d23fbacked Trail Blazers | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed Spurs | 78c | 56.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -9.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa73d…2e50backed Spurs | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…5200backed Spurs | 73c | 56.02$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Spurs | 74c | 53.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 259 | 58.3%151 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61c6…d3d9backed Trail Blazers | 42c | 46.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ad…bc2dbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5a…b830backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 41.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…ee58backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…4b79backed Trail Blazers | 76c | 39.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…51debacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 37.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Spurs | 64c | 36.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c1…be67backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c6…2e9fbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 30.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…febcbacked Spurs | 36c | 29.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Spurs | 52c | 28.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d60…50dbbacked Spurs | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 26.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc7de…4a98backed Spurs | 56c | 26.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d4…8c7fbacked Spurs | 57c | 25.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…a328backed Spurs | 46c | 25.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Spurs | 55c | 24.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3b…0353backed Trail Blazers | 41c | 24.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Spurs | 47c | 23.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -17.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 22.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa66e…eb36backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 21.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 19.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Spurs | 77c | 19.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Scoot Henderson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Scoot Henderson: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. Trail BlazersSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 216.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 218.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.