TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$139,392
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$142,709

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,392 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Spurs51c75,895$38,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,045.811,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Trail Blazers49c44,470$21,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,648.2636549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Trail Blazers48c26,532$12,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,735.465848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Trail Blazers50c18,285$9,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,085.016152.5%32 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Spurs32c11,647$3,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,977.781,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Spurs51c4,830$2,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.7355251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Spurs45c4,400$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,420.185352.8%28 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Trail Blazers46c4,135$1,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,895.2469848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Trail Blazers55c3,507$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,929.63,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs62c3,197$1,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.922,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Spurs56c2,087$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.43742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Trail Blazers54c1,130$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.4364651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Spurs46c1,069$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.0315246.7%71 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Spurs55c973$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.8573649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Spurs52c869.37$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.37353.4%39 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Spurs45c819.11$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.5111864.4%76 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Trail Blazers24c692.62$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.072931%9 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-34.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Spurs16c623.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.1629547.5%140 W · 155 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Spurs51c606.34$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.4489850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Trail Blazers49c605.38$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.645743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Spurs54c604.76$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.199430.9%29 W · 65 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87e5…74f7backed Trail Blazers49c498.41$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.542850%14 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Trail Blazers55c474.21$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.585255.8%29 W · 23 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0adb…7693backed Trail Blazers24c471.16$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.56120%0 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60da…a14ebacked Trail Blazers46c420.46$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.4112346.3%57 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eab…7e13backed Trail Blazers55c389.2$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.0614152.5%74 W · 67 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6794…0a8bbacked Trail Blazers24c362.19$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.934221.4%9 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Trail Blazers6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1836243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5715…1616backed Spurs51c299.41$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.716333.3%21 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+50.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x81a4…da1fbacked Trail Blazers49c296.76$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.4111443%49 W · 65 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Trail Blazers50c242.5$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.252347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1969…076abacked Trail Blazers49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.94825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-56.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed Trail Blazers49c195.11$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.25343.4%23 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c12…b8f3backed Spurs55c178.17$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.93256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Spurs51c169.57$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.532,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aab…773bbacked Spurs54c140.61$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.682231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Spurs72c138$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1759255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Trail Blazers49c134.62$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8839055.6%217 W · 173 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Spurs72c130.08$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8689048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Trail Blazers14c106.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8416429.9%49 W · 115 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb41…8536backed Trail Blazers46c105.17$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.38850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Spurs48c101.32$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8929040.3%117 W · 173 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1155…2315backed Trail Blazers40c99.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022170.6%156 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Trail Blazers49c92.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.561,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Spurs45c89.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.391,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Trail Blazers55c89.27$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.155751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Trail Blazers55c89.27$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.120247.5%96 W · 106 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61d3…189abacked Trail Blazers55c89.27$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.121849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Trail Blazers55c88.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6545445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x595c…3b03backed Trail Blazers55c87.57$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.163357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec45…6c6dbacked Trail Blazers49c87$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.639156%51 W · 40 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a61…5781backed Spurs55c86.66$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.653666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x40e1…65a4backed Trail Blazers55c85.13$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.824755.3%26 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47d2…1945backed Trail Blazers49c76.85$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.81933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-34.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x561e…3e87backed Spurs52c75.08$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2311440.4%46 W · 68 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed Spurs56c74.27$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.034843.8%21 W · 27 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30bb…f258backed Spurs54c72.03$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.132748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+49.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Trail Blazers55c70.76$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9227138.7%105 W · 166 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Trail Blazers61c69$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8511852.5%62 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Trail Blazers73c67.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5493148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5081…e5acbacked Spurs39c61.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4820055.5%111 W · 89 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf09d…d23fbacked Trail Blazers44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.110651.9%55 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed Spurs78c56.89$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.527936.7%29 W · 50 L-9.5wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa73d…2e50backed Spurs52c56.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.893650%18 W · 18 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+30.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0570…5200backed Spurs73c56.02$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.388457.1%48 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Spurs74c53.58$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0225958.3%151 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x61c6…d3d9backed Trail Blazers42c46.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.33745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ad…bc2dbacked Trail Blazers55c44.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.331931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf5a…b830backed Trail Blazers56c43.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.342437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d30…5f85backed Trail Blazers55c41.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7716653.6%89 W · 77 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x692e…ee58backed Trail Blazers50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017428.2%49 W · 125 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf596…4b79backed Trail Blazers76c39.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.563363.6%21 W · 12 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe2b…51debacked Trail Blazers49c37.59$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4210247.1%48 W · 54 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdded…13a2backed Spurs64c36.09$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9511057.3%63 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Trail Blazers45c36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.233556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9c1…be67backed Trail Blazers55c34.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.82653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61c6…2e9fbacked Trail Blazers47c30.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.525435.2%19 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88c7…febcbacked Spurs36c29.53$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.821560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bff…c8a8backed Spurs52c28.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.453339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d60…50dbbacked Spurs54c27.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.436256.5%35 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Trail Blazers48c26.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.921,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xc7de…4a98backed Spurs56c26.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.472450%12 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d4…8c7fbacked Spurs57c25.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a94…a328backed Spurs46c25.24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.63650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+32.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Spurs55c24.68$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1178639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b3b…0353backed Trail Blazers41c24.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Spurs47c23.85$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7511232.1%36 W · 76 L-17.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Trail Blazers50c22.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0837665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xa66e…eb36backed Trail Blazers49c21.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.661656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1643…6ec8backed Trail Blazers55c19.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.75858.6%34 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Spurs77c19.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4552861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.