TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 218.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$273,257
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$276,317

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,257 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb652…2db4backed Over50c69,761$34,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,780.3437627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under50c27,160$13,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,58015952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Over51c22,624$11,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,538.2620545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Under50c19,788$9,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,89429650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Over50c19,313$9,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,701.416846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c18,452$9,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,306.784,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under49c16,529$8,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,385.5769848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Over47c11,186$5,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,257.4132653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over14c8,144$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.211,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over30c7,038$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,129.73,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under49c5,629$2,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,870.6820744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x073a…91e7backed Over51c5,400$2,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7543641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe169…4653backed Under51c4,807$2,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,355.1912450.8%63 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over49c4,444$2,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,177.5630448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over50c4,410$2,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,184.5544740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Under54c4,254$2,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,976.0812646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under56c4,229$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,879.082,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.1447856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed Under49c3,957$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,017.933943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Over46c3,581$1,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.355341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c3,436$1,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.744,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under52c3,021$1,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450.2747542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3801,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Over47c2,842$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.8328643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93a7…b221backed Under53c2,797$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.471957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Under53c2,714$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,275.444951%25 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8a…2d30backed Under49c2,538$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.38850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Under49c2,533$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.945442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6bd…3096backed Under53c2,525$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.097852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22f9…f814backed Over47c2,053$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.841553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+33.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over49c2,024$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.731,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0002,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Under53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94025641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9820744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over2c1,800$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2931222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over19c1,688$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.56817.6%12 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe757…c161backed Over9c1,396$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.466238.7%24 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over48c1,263$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.151,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over48c1,237$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.6762051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under53c1,100$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51721653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Under53c1,016$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.1411153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Over2c999.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1713946.8%65 W · 74 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over49c999.98$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9944252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed Over47c968.2$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.055945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under49c934.99$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.8356043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Under55c889.76$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.367150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Over48c833.61$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.8617250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Over14c802.28$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3520353.7%109 W · 94 L+21.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under49c780.68$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.1645251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Over51c775.7$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.6923251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Under52c714.41$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.9149852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under51c694.14$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.646,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74c2…5260backed Over36c662.44$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.483850%19 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over48c629.64$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.2332351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Under65c600$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21389444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…0b46backed Under67c586.81$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.788149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over51c573.62$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.52931%9 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-34.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa663…eceabacked Under51c569.44$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.242142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over48c568.08$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.7945146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under49c552.27$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.661,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaee…381ebacked Under52c522.95$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.02757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed Over49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24514731.3%46 W · 101 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c88…5463backed Over51c469.64$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.515151%26 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under50c446.4$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.215545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c94…f9f4backed Under67c439.17$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.128043.8%35 W · 45 L-9.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-23%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under49c437.51$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.131,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under50c421.32$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.6655251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over51c399.99$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.991,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under50c390$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19525840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x126d…f863backed Under49c388.75$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.26250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under52c381.78$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.641,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over52c373.54$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2422844.7%102 W · 126 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.3619951.8%103 W · 96 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Under53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.368744.8%39 W · 48 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-17.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Under47c309.34$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.958348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over35c308.25$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.523,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over19c303.15$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5325360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc8b2…3ebfbacked Under65c229.96$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.293036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over17c212.72$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2883039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under52c212.04$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.871,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7987…884abacked Under51c209.35$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.5825850%129 W · 129 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10035849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…d4cebacked Over17c199.75$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.961346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over47c199.29$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.621,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24e4…0478backed Over46c197.05$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.648850%44 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeedb…f631backed Under51c194.12$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.124944.9%22 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cbb…5503backed Under50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979653.1%51 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9718850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over37c179.6$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2789048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over34c175.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.12,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under49c168.16$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7610552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aeb…42d4backed Over23c167.74$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2127539.6%109 W · 166 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd57d…590ebacked Under70c158.55$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5713560%81 W · 54 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd52f…88fabacked Over52c149.42$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.75850%29 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec1…3d53backed Over14c135.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.97520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7239…4389backed Over50c133.47$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2943750.1%219 W · 218 L-1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x800a…ce35backed Over52c112.06$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.271250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Under48c111.01$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.728545.9%39 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.