TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 112.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,888
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,086

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,888 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under53c685.02$363 inWon+$321.961,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0351…ab88backed Over47c595.88$280 inLost-$280.061127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-41%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7cd…7db3backed Under54c180.07$97 inWon+$82.838354.2%45 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over46c159.87$74 inLost-$73.5450346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over46c100$46 inLost-$461,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed Under54c91.78$50 inWon+$42.2242740.3%172 W · 255 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4248…50febacked Over50c90.95$45 inLost-$45.473132.3%10 W · 21 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-41.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over46c85.19$39 inLost-$39.192,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033c…b4afbacked Under54c67.67$37 inWon+$31.133050%15 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3080…f041backed Over47c67.36$32 inLost-$31.66837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddf2…8bf0backed Under54c36.28$19 inWon+$16.835947.5%28 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over45c26.04$12 inLost-$11.762,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4254…1d02backed Over57c25.61$15 inLost-$14.61130%0 W · 13 L-5.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.