NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 216.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36a673a688f9e928d07cee3ab3959695178e1de5d7ac10d0ef6f5fe1a0af56cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 52c | 16,900$8,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,785.46 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 68c | 10,917$7,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500.86 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 2c | 4,949$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.45 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Under | 49c | 4,943$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,507.13 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 8c | 4,535$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.23 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 50c | 3,151$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.63 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…1c90backed Under | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 30c | 1,432$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.62 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 48c | 1,066$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.15 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 362 | 43.9%159 W · 203 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 28c | 999.98$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Over | 42c | 900$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Over | 18c | 823.63$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.25 | 295 | 47.5%140 W · 155 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…2f90backed Over | 19c | 761$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.69 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 58c | 487.4$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.71 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 60c | 429.33$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.25 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 46c | 427.31$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.75 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a23…442cbacked Over | 42c | 303.21$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 51c | 264$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.64 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 47c | 244.09$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.37 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…6c6dbacked Over | 53c | 222.54$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.95 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Over | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -16.2wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Over | 20c | 109.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 50c | 77.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…189abacked Under | 72c | 63.91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Under | 72c | 63.91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 72c | 60.92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…5200backed Over | 30c | 59.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…9d08backed Under | 47c | 53.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…65a4backed Under | 72c | 51.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 47c | 50.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 279 | 45.9%128 W · 151 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Over | 54c | 50.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +125.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 54c | 48.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 329 | 57.4%189 W · 140 L | +18.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5a…b830backed Over | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80ad…bc2dbacked Over | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Over | 52c | 42.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Over | 54c | 30.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 72c | 29.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 296 | 65.5%194 W · 102 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 72c | 27.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 331 | 59.2%196 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7de…4a98backed Over | 45c | 24.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…a423backed Under | 55c | 24.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 48c | 24.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f78…f9dabacked Over | 54c | 23.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6833…751abacked Over | 54c | 23.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Under | 58c | 19.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 70c | 17.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 168 | 67.3%113 W · 55 L | +13.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Under | 77c | 14.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 216.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Scoot Henderson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Scoot Henderson: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. Trail BlazersSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 218.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.