NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0f121469c08c53c8a3387c6d28fc53b2ae322579aec6f0f1674caa53790364a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 48c | 13,850$6,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,647.87 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 0c | 11,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…2f4abacked Over | 4c | 7,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Under | 52c | 4,422$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.58 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Under | 52c | 4,326$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.62 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Under | 54c | 4,240$2,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.91 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Under | 52c | 2,098$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.08 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Under | 56c | 1,738$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.16 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 28c | 1,426$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.08 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 46c | 1,143$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.19 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 45c | 1,040$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.18 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Under | 74c | 886.35$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.75 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 45c | 698.97$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.34 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -13.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…9d46backed Under | 64c | 611.18$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.81 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 44c | 590.72$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.07 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 468.44$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.22 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c94…f9f4backed Under | 64c | 458.19$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.51 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -9.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Under | 57c | 448.94$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.04 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under | 52c | 440.73$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.55 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b7…dfd8backed Under | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Under | 56c | 340.76$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.93 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Over | 45c | 322.33$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.05 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917f…143cbacked Over | 46c | 260.56$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 56c | 242.8$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.83 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664f…d100backed Under | 57c | 205.09$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.19 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 36c | 198.39$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.42 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Under | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…3248backed Under | 74c | 149.77$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.94 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 53c | 146.06$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 43c | 142.15$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…997cbacked Under | 55c | 88.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 45c | 79.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Over | 48c | 72.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…675cbacked Over | 46c | 71.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 33c | 70.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Over | 41c | 70.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…4013backed Under | 57c | 63.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf09d…d23fbacked Under | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Under | 55c | 50.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…4389backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 437 | 50.1%219 W · 218 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…1b45backed Over | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 39.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5b…9c17backed Over | 50c | 38.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e5…1dd0backed Under | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 416 | 54.8%228 W · 188 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9681…9199backed Under | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e6…83a4backed Under | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7d…8ee2backed Under | 78c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 55c | 35.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3b…0353backed Under | 68c | 35.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f06…114ebacked Under | 57c | 30.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 55c | 27.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 443 | 47.2%209 W · 234 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 55c | 27.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 44c | 26.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 53c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Under | 58c | 25.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 42c | 24.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0aa…13b3backed Under | 56c | 24.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Under | 60c | 24.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…65e9backed Over | 49c | 21.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…82b0backed Under | 51c | 19.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 219.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 23.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Scoot Henderson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Scoot Henderson: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spurs vs. Trail BlazersSpurs won
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 216.5Under won
- Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 218.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.