TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x61c6…d3d9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT4339.5%17 W · 26 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Flavio Cobollibacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.31
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.34
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.53
Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Casper Ruudbacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
Madrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodarbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.38
Madrid Open: Vit Kopriva vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$35.46
Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.98
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Emilio Navabacked Emilio Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.24
Sinner vs. Moeller: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.66
Madrid Open: Ugo Humbert vs Terence Atmanebacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
Madrid Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$11.98
Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Hanfmann (+1.5)backed Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.1
Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.91
Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
Madrid Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
Madrid Open: Andrey Rublev vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+154.3%+$76.22
Madrid Open: Sebastian Ofner vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Tomas Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$10.78
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
Madrid Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.81
Madrid Open: Ben Shelton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.71
Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Gabriel Diallobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Sofia Keninbacked Sofia Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Madrid Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Maria Sakkaribacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.19
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT3745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Celtics vs. 76ers: 1H Moneylinebacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.46
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.49
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H Moneylinebacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.2
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$37.67
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$30.67
OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
Chet Holmgren: Assists O/U 1.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$11.81
Devin Booker: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.11
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$23.64
Franz Wagner: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.43
1H Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.49
Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 20.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.93
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$22.14
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.19
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+203%+$38.97
Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$18.85
Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
Derrick White: Points O/U 13.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+103.2%+$12.01
Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.82
VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.63
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+26.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+135.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$38.41
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$39.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+502.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Fujian Sturgeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+502.2%+$76.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$30.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$17.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Adrian Luna Martinetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.