Tennis · resolved market
Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Denis Shapovalov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cc9ee7e313bf35e5eedb354e7b0b9aa6c77c56392ce8c6f2faa20b03ebdff42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nicolai Budkov Kjaerof Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, Denis Shapovalov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $184,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Denis Shapovalov | 16c | 16,283$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,677.96 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 40c | 6,928$2,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,156.65 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Denis Shapovalov | 4c | 6,419$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.33 | 341 | 36.4%124 W · 217 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Denis Shapovalov | 60c | 5,580$3,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,340.84 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed Denis Shapovalov | 60c | 5,247$3,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,128.46 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…5ce3backed Denis Shapovalov | 57c | 4,819$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730.45 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Denis Shapovalov | 37c | 4,776$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.36 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 79c | 4,704$3,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.17 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 78c | 4,579$3,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.31 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1be…9662backed Denis Shapovalov | 1c | 3,762$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Denis Shapovalov | 38c | 3,525$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.24 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 47c | 3,263$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.99 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 50c | 2,944$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.6 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 44c | 2,941$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.87 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…307cbacked Denis Shapovalov | 55c | 2,801$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.84 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Denis Shapovalov | 56c | 2,609$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.38 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 46c | 2,568$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.12 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 67c | 2,561$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.85 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e26…e4d1backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 46c | 2,054$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.98 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Denis Shapovalov | 60c | 2,014$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.49 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.99 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Denis Shapovalov | 55c | 1,998$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.87 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 46c | 1,746$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.23 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7b…7f37backed Denis Shapovalov | 60c | 1,606$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.2 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0239…6e89backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 63c | 1,550$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.52 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 76c | 1,297$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.24 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Denis Shapovalov | 59c | 1,243$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.62 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | -27.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Denis Shapovalov | 58c | 1,144$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.94 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Denis Shapovalov | 60c | 1,139$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.2 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Denis Shapovalov | 58c | 1,072$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.75 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 50c | 1,043$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.55 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Denis Shapovalov | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 43c | 970.29$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.07 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 45c | 877.08$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.56 | 277 | 39%108 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 40c | 862.34$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.4 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 42c | 832.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.13 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Denis Shapovalov | 60c | 813.33$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…7bdabacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 76c | 739.2$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.41 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 41c | 720.34$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 41c | 700.67$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.35 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 42c | 695.45$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.36 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 42c | 689.43$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.87 | 234 | 29.9%70 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Denis Shapovalov | 60c | 650.67$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.4 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Denis Shapovalov | 57c | 610.92$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.19 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…f152backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 67c | 504.81$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.06 | 734 | 58.6%430 W · 304 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x113b…483cbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 76c | 490.37$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.69 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Denis Shapovalov | 43c | 487$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.97 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Denis Shapovalov | 5c | 484.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Denis Shapovalov | 34c | 477.38$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.31 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 42c | 443.93$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.45 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…abeabacked Denis Shapovalov | 26c | 436.83$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.19 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Denis Shapovalov | 57c | 414$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.98 | 182 | 56.6%103 W · 79 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Denis Shapovalov | 22c | 386.35$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.56 | 380 | 13.9%53 W · 327 L | -38.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Denis Shapovalov | 57c | 373.52$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.98 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…ba51backed Denis Shapovalov | 25c | 368.55$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.14 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 42c | 344.71$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.93 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed Denis Shapovalov | 59c | 330.64$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.08 | 184 | 62%114 W · 70 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Denis Shapovalov | 26c | 328.62$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.44 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 42c | 321.73$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.61 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 41c | 308.85$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 52c | 293.94$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.97 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a65…7238backed Denis Shapovalov | 60c | 276.53$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.92 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Denis Shapovalov | 59c | 273.75$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.38 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 70c | 273.1$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.93 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 68c | 265.41$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.93 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf3…3bf8backed Denis Shapovalov | 52c | 249.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500c…883cbacked Denis Shapovalov | 60c | 244$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.4 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…d13abacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 76c | 243.81$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.51 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 77cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 40c | 235.9$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.15 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3172…e940backed Denis Shapovalov | 56c | 233.92$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 42c | 229.81$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.29 | 259 | 57.1%148 W · 111 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 44c | 222.52$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.63 | 552 | 43.3%239 W · 313 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Denis Shapovalov | 56c | 202.02$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.13 | 603 | 55.4%334 W · 269 L | +19.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 66c | 200.7$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.22 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 289 | 47.8%138 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Denis Shapovalov | 56c | 194.72$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 67c | 188.73$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.28 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Denis Shapovalov | 53c | 184$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 483 | 31.1%150 W · 333 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 61c | 174.26$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.96 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bb…4c8abacked Denis Shapovalov | 60c | 173.13$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.88 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…d3c2backed Denis Shapovalov | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 465 | 62.6%291 W · 174 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…143cbacked Denis Shapovalov | 59c | 163.67$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Denis Shapovalov | 54c | 148.4$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.82 | 567 | 54.5%309 W · 258 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 46c | 145.11$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…56f1backed Denis Shapovalov | 53c | 141.15$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.81 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6974…11b4backed Denis Shapovalov | 59c | 139.12$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x241a…5ff6backed Denis Shapovalov | 56c | 139.09$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Denis Shapovalov | 39c | 135.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Denis Shapovalov | 58c | 134.46$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.98 | 433 | 53.6%232 W · 201 L | +32.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 71c | 133.64$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 74c | 130$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001f…abd8backed Denis Shapovalov | 62c | 122.75$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 36c | 119.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.48 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 47c | 117.26$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.62 | 812 | 56.2%456 W · 356 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 314 | 63.1%198 W · 116 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | 40c | 113.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.7 | 362 | 44.8%162 W · 200 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Denis Shapovalov | 36c | 103.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Denis Shapovalov | 55c | 102.61$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.43 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Madrid Open: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Denis Shapovalovthis page
- Kjaer vs. Shapovalov: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Kjaer vs ShapovalovKjaer won
- Set Handicap: Shapovalov (-1.5) vs Kjaer (+1.5)Kjaer won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.